NIFL Premiership Gameweek 28
Feb 17, 2026 7.45pm
The Showgrounds

Ballymena United vs Crusaders - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ballymena United

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 3.00pm
Glentoran 0 - 0 Ballymena
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Daire O'Connor

Crusaders

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 3.00pm
Crusaders 0 - 0 Bangor
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Adam Brooks

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ballymena United win with a probability of 49.9%. A win for Crusaders has a probability of 25.18% and a draw has a probability of 24.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Crusaders win is 1-2 (7.25%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.09%).

Result

Ballymena United 49.9% (+0.05)
Draw 24.91%
Crusaders 25.18% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.93% (-0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.04% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 23.96% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 52.16% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 47.84% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 28.81% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 71.19% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 16.42% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 83.58% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Ballymena United 35.34% (-0.21)
Draw 40.79% (+0.09)
Crusaders 23.87% (+0.14)

Team To Score First

Ballymena United 56.85% (+0.15)
No Goal 6.5% (+0.01)
Crusaders 36.65% (-0.15)

Corners

Over 8 58.6% (-0.01)
Equal 8 11.1%
Under 8 30.3%
Over 9 47.22% (-0.01)
Equal 9 11.38%
Under 9 41.4% (+0.01)
Over 10.5 36.49% (-0.01)
Under 10.5 63.51% (+0.01)

Ballymena United Goals

Over 1.5 46.67% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 53.33% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 22.3% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 77.7% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 7.96% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 92.04% (-0.01)

Crusaders Goals

Over 0.5 61.41% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 38.59% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 28.36% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 71.64% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 9.01% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 90.99% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 2.59% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 97.41% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Ballymena United 49.9%
Draw 24.91%
Crusaders 25.18%
Ballymena United
1-0 @ 11.12%
2-1 @ 9.54% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 8.07% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 5.09% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.94% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.19% (+0.01)
Other @ 7.95% (+0.01)
Total : 49.9%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.09%
0-0 @ 6.5% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.19% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 24.91%
Crusaders
1-2 @ 7.25% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 6.33% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.72% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.1%
0-3 @ 1.63% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.57% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.58% (-0.03)
Total : 25.18%

Head to Head

NIFL Premiership
Nov 22, 2025 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
NIFL Premiership
Sep 20, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 29
Feb 15, 2025 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT Seaview
  • Conor Barr 13' goal
  • 14' yellowcard
  • Jacob Blaney 21' goal
  • Lewis Barr 29' yellowcard
  • Philip Lowry 33' yellowcard
  • Mal Smith 51' yellowcard
  • Jordan Forsythe 60' yellowcard
  • 76' yellowcard
  • Jordan Stewart 86' yellowcard
  • Jarlath O'Rourke 90' goal
  • Harry Franklin 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Patrick McEleney 23'
  • yellowcard Success Edogun 31'
  • yellowcard Caolan Loughran 90'+2'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 14
Oct 26, 2024 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Seaview
  • Ross Clarke 53' yellowcard
  • Kieran Offord 65' goal
  • Robbie Weir 88' yellowcard
  • Harry Franklin 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jonathan McMurray 20'
  • yellowcard Andrew Scott 31'
  • yellowcard Kym Nelson 77'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 3
Aug 20, 2024 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT The Showgrounds
  • Stephen O'Donnell 31' yellowcard
  • Jonathan McMurray 47' yellowcard
  • goal Kieran Offord 5'
  • yellowcard Robbie Weir 19'
  • yellowcard Daniel Larmour 76'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 31
Mar 9, 2024 3.00pm
2
4
HT : 2 1
FT The Showgrounds
  • Steven McCullough 8' yellowcard
  • Kym Nelson 18' goal
  • Fraser Taylor 28' goal
  • Kym Nelson 81' yellowcard
  • Fraser Taylor 85' yellowcard
  • goal Adam Lecky 11'
  • yellowcard Ross Clarke 54'
  • yellowcard Adam Lecky 59'
  • goal Ben Kennedy 67'
  • goal Paul Heatley 71'
  • goal Jarlath O'Rourke 74'