Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 44.15%. A win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 30.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Dungannon Swifts win was 1-0 (7.92%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%).