NIFL Premiership Gameweek 11
Feb 24, 2026 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Inver Park
  • Leroy Millar 13' goal
  • Andy Ryan 70' yellowcard
  • Ronan Doherty 88' yellowcard
  • Paul O'Neill 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Adam Frizzell 46'
  • goal Adam Frizzell 49'
  • yellowcard Chris McKee 72'

Larne vs Linfield - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Larne

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Feb 20, 2026 7.45pm
Larne 2 - 3 Carrick
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Andy Ryan

Linfield

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 6.00pm
Linfield 1 - 0 Glentoran
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Matthew Fitzpatrick

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 38.09%. A win for Larne had a probability of 33.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.05%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Larne win was 1-0 (10.67%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.

Result

Larne 33.96% (+0.22)
Draw 27.95% (+0.03)
Linfield 38.09% (-0.19)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.78% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.34% (-0.19)
Under 1.5 31.66% (+0.20)
Over 2.5 41.65% (-0.47)
Under 2.5 58.35% (+0.47)
Over 3.5 20.94% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 79.06% (+0.08)
Over 4.5 10.36% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 89.64% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Larne 26.86% (+0.34)
Draw 44.05% (-0.11)
Linfield 29.09% (-0.25)

Team To Score First

Larne 44.58% (+0.02)
No Goal 9.72% (+0.09)
Linfield 45.7% (-0.10)

Corners

Over 8 51.2% (+0.28)
Equal 8 11.87% (-0.06)
Under 8 36.94% (-0.22)
Over 9 39.71% (+0.29)
Equal 9 11.49% (-0.02)
Under 9 48.8% (-0.28)
Over 10.5 29.48% (+0.29)
Under 10.5 70.52% (-0.29)

Larne Goals

Over 1.5 30.07% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 69.93% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 9.78% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 90.22% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 2.76% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 97.24% (-0.06)

Linfield Goals

Over 0.5 68.37% (-0.26)
Under 0.5 31.63% (+0.26)
Over 1.5 33.25% (-0.37)
Under 1.5 66.75% (+0.38)
Over 2.5 12.24% (-0.25)
Under 2.5 87.76% (+0.25)
Over 3.5 3.55% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 96.45% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Larne 33.97%
Draw 27.97%
Linfield 38.09%
Larne
1-0 @ 10.67% (+0.10)
2-1 @ 7.75% (-0.09)
2-0 @ 6.25% (+0.17)
3-1 @ 2.64% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 2.27% (-0.07)
3-2 @ 1.64% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.75% (+0.05)
Total : 33.97%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.43% (+0.08)
0-0 @ 9.72% (+0.09)
2-2 @ 4.34% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 27.97%
Linfield
0-1 @ 11.3% (+0.09)
1-2 @ 8.05% (-0.14)
0-2 @ 6.98% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 3.63% (-0.05)
0-3 @ 2.64% (-0.12)
2-3 @ 1.95%
Other @ 3.54% (-0.03)
Total : 38.09%

Head to Head

NIFL Premiership Gameweek 25
Jan 16, 2026 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Windsor Park
  • Darragh Leahy 30' yellowcard
  • Darragh Leahy 30'+2' yellowcard
  • Matt Yates 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Matty Yates 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Jamie Mulgrew 75' yellowcard
  • Charlie Allen 76' yellowcard
  • Jamie Mulgrew 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Matt Lusty 60'
  • yellowcard Andy Ryan 60'
  • yellowcard Matthew Lusty 61'
  • yellowcard Andy Ryan 61'
  • yellowcard James Simpson 75'
  • yellowcard Conor McKendry 80'
  • yellowcard Conor McKendry 81'
NIFL Premiership
Dec 6, 2025 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Conor McKendry 74' yellowcard
  • Christopher Gallagher 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matt Fitzpatrick 89'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 4
Apr 18, 2025 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Inver Park
  • Shaun Want 41' yellowcard
  • Sean Graham 71' yellowcard
  • Andy Ryan 76' goal
  • Conor McKendry 87' goal
  • goal K 32'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 24
Feb 11, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Windsor Park
  • Kieran Offord 59' goal
  • Chris Shields 80' yellowcard
  • redcard Andy Ryan 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Paul O'Neill 63'
  • yellowcard A 81'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 17
Nov 16, 2024 5.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Inver Park
  • Paul O'Neill 13' yellowcard
  • Conor McKendry 89' yellowcard
  • goal Joel Cooper 9'
  • yellowcard Dane McCullough 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Chris McKee 90'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 7
Sep 14, 2024 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Windsor Park
  • Matt Fitzpatrick 18' yellowcard
  • Joel Cooper 80' yellowcard
  • Chris Shields 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andy Ryan 41'
  • yellowcard Ryan Nolan 66'
  • goal Conor McKendry 79'
  • yellowcard Conor McKendry 79'