Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 38.09%. A win for Larne had a probability of 33.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.05%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Larne win was 1-0 (10.67%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.