NIFL Premiership Gameweek 28
Feb 10, 2026 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Inver Park
  • Paul O'Neill 20' yellowcard
  • Dylan Sloan 67' yellowcard
  • Matt Lusty 67' yellowcard
  • Ronan Doherty 67' yellowcard
  • Andy Ryan 67' yellowcard
  • Conor McKendry 78' yellowcard
  • Andy Ryan 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Patrick Hoban 44'
  • yellowcard Jarlath O'Rourke 46'
  • goal Patrick Hoban 49'
  • yellowcard Danny Amos 62'
  • yellowcard Jordan Jenkins 75'

Larne vs Glentoran - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Larne

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Jan 31, 2026 3.00pm
Crusaders 0 - 0 Larne
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Paul O'Neill

Glentoran

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Jan 31, 2026 3.00pm
Dungannon 0 - 0 Glentoran
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Patrick Hoban

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 37.53%. A win for Glentoran had a probability of 34.18% and a draw had a probability of 28.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Glentoran win was 0-1 (11.01%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result

Larne 37.53% (-0.09)
Draw 28.29% (+0.01)
Glentoran 34.18% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.37%

Goals

Over 1.5 67.74% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 32.26% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 40.95%
Under 2.5 59.05%
Over 3.5 19.62%
Under 3.5 80.38%
Over 4.5 9.63% (+0.05)
Under 4.5 90.37% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Larne 26.63% (+0.01)
Draw 48.36%
Glentoran 25.01%

Team To Score First

Larne 44.36% (-0.04)
No Goal 9.98% (+0.04)
Glentoran 45.66%

Corners

Over 8 43.12% (-0.02)
Equal 8 11.84%
Under 8 45.04% (+0.01)
Over 9 32.37% (+0.01)
Equal 9 10.75% (-0.01)
Under 9 56.88% (+0.02)
Over 10.5 23.35% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 76.65% (-0.01)

Larne Goals

Over 1.5 33.04% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 66.96% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 11.02% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 88.98% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 3.23%
Under 3.5 96.77%

Glentoran Goals

Over 0.5 65.67% (+0.11)
Under 0.5 34.33% (-0.11)
Over 1.5 29.78% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 70.22% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 9.99% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 90.01% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 2.61% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 97.39% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Larne 37.54%
Draw 28.3%
Glentoran 34.17%
Larne
1-0 @ 11.28% (-0.05)
2-1 @ 8.9% (+0.08)
2-0 @ 7.03% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.89% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 2.74% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.54% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.16% (-0.01)
Total : 37.54%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.24% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 9.98% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 4.39%
Other @ 0.07% (+0.02)
Total : 28.3%
Glentoran
0-1 @ 11.01% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 7.35% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 6.51% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.87% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.19%
2-3 @ 1.7% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.54% (+0.03)
Total : 34.17%

Head to Head

NIFL Premiership Gameweek 9
Jan 13, 2026 7.45pm
1
4
HT : 1 1
FT The Oval
  • Daniel Larmour 24' goal
  • Ciaran Coll 61' yellowcard
  • Ben Gallagher 61' yellowcard
  • Danny Amos 75' yellowcard
  • Dylan Connolly 75' yellowcard
  • James Douglas 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Paul O'Neill 7'
  • goal Christopher Gallagher 41'
  • yellowcard James Simpson 46'
  • goal Paul O'Neill 54'
  • yellowcard Matt Lusty 69'
  • yellowcard Andy Ryan 69'
  • goal Tomas Cosgrove 77'
NIFL Premiership
Dec 13, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Benjamin Magee 82' goal
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 5
Apr 26, 2025 5.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Inver Park
  • Cian Bolger 51' yellowcard
  • Mark Randall 68' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marcus Kane 12'
  • yellowcard Joseph Thomson 52'
  • yellowcard Fuad Sule 64'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 26
Mar 18, 2025 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT The Oval
  • J 11' goal
  • Joseph Thomson 47' goal
  • Fuad Sule 80' yellowcard
  • goal Paul O'Neill 59'
  • yellowcard Mark Randall 65'
  • goal Andy Ryan 67'
  • yellowcard Tomas Cosgrove 89'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 15
Nov 2, 2024 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT The Oval
  • Fuad Sule 20' yellowcard
  • Paul O'Neill 33' yellowcard
  • James Singleton 74' redcard
  • James Singleton 74' yellowcard
  • goal Andy Ryan 22'
  • yellowcard Frankie Hvid 33'
  • yellowcard Sean Graham 37'
  • yellowcard Jordan McEneff 43'
  • goal Cian Bolger 68'
  • redcard Dylan Sloan 74'
  • yellowcard Andy Ryan 82'
  • yellowcard Christopher Gallagher 85'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 9
Sep 20, 2024 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Inver Park
  • Andy Ryan 45'+1' goal
  • Matt Lusty 51' goal
  • Rohan Ferguson 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marcus Kane 64'
  • yellowcard Fuad Sule 70'
  • yellowcard Frankie Hvid 90'+5'