Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 64.15%. A draw had a probability of 21.38% and a win for Portadown had a probability of 14.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.48%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%) , while for a Portadown win it was 0-1 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.