NIFL Premiership Gameweek 30
Feb 20, 2026 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 0 3
FT Inver Park
  • Matthew Lusty 46' yellowcard
  • Conor McKendry 46' yellowcard
  • Tiarnan O'Connor 46' yellowcard
  • Dylan Sloan 46' yellowcard
  • Tiarnan O'Connor 49' goal
  • Dan Bent 77' yellowcard
  • Dan Bent 90'+7' goal
  • goal Danny Purkis 20'
  • goal Joe Crowe 41'
  • goal Paul Heatley 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Kyle Cherry 66'
  • yellowcard Joseph Moore 70'

Larne vs Carrick Rangers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Larne

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 3.00pm
Portadown 2 - 1 Larne
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Andy Ryan

Carrick Rangers

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 3.00pm
Carrick 1 - 1 Coleraine
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Paul Heatley

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 58.37%. A draw had a probability of 23.57% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 18.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.21%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%) , while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 0-1 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result

Larne 58.37% (+0.04)
Draw 23.57% (-0.04)
Carrick Rangers 18.11% (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.64%

Goals

Over 1.5 74.82% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 25.18% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 50.06% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 49.94% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 27.63% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 72.37% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 16.03% (+0.05)
Under 4.5 83.97% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Larne 38.94%
Draw 41.48%
Carrick Rangers 19.58%

Team To Score First

Larne 61.29% (+0.02)
No Goal 7.11% (-0.02)
Carrick Rangers 31.6%

Corners

Over 8 49.65%
Equal 8 12.03%
Under 8 38.32%
Over 9 38.15%
Equal 9 11.5%
Under 9 50.35%
Over 10.5 28.04%
Under 10.5 71.96%

Larne Goals

Over 1.5 52.77% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 47.23% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 26.09% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 73.91% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 10.19% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 89.81% (-0.01)

Carrick Rangers Goals

Over 0.5 52.41% (+0.10)
Under 0.5 47.59% (-0.10)
Over 1.5 20.31% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 79.69% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 6.04% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 93.96% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 1.42% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.58% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Larne 58.38%
Draw 23.58%
Carrick Rangers 18.1%
Larne
1-0 @ 12.4% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 11.21% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 9.73%
3-0 @ 6.97% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 5.62% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.49% (+0.04)
Other @ 9.96% (+0.04)
Total : 58.38%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.02% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 7.11% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.4% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.23% (-0.02)
Total : 23.58%
Carrick Rangers
0-1 @ 5.73% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 4.86%
0-2 @ 2.52% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.59% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 1.19% (+0.02)
Total : 18.1%

Head to Head

NIFL Premiership
Dec 26, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Paul Heatley 56' goal
  • yellowcard Leroy Millar 34'
  • yellowcard Christopher Gallagher 59'
  • goal Tiarnan O'Connor 80'
  • goal Paul O'Neill 85'
  • yellowcard Paul O'Neill 89'
  • yellowcard 90'+4'
NIFL Premiership
Sep 20, 2025 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 12
Mar 4, 2025 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena
  • Joe Crowe 90'+3' goal
  • goal Sean Graham 66'
  • goal 83'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 3
Feb 4, 2025 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena
  • Nedas Macuilaitis 23' goal
  • Kurtis Forsythe 40' yellowcard
  • Joe Crowe 45'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rohan Ferguson 24'
  • yellowcard Tomas Cosgrove 52'
  • goal Sean Graham 66'
  • yellowcard Christopher Gallagher 71'
  • goal Tiarnan O'Connor 83'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2024 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Inver Park
  • Cian Bolger 89' yellowcard
  • Shaun Want 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kyle Cherry 71'
  • yellowcard Seanan Clucas 78'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2023 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena
  • Kurtis Forsythe 42' yellowcard
  • Joe Crowe 57' yellowcard
  • Dan Purkis 64' yellowcard
  • Curtis Allen 78' goal
  • Steven Gordon 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Leroy Millar 27'
  • yellowcard Levi Ives 65'
  • goal Andy Ryan 76'
  • yellowcard Joseph Thomson 77'
  • yellowcard Jaziel Orozco 83'