Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 58.37%. A draw had a probability of 23.57% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 18.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.21%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%) , while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 0-1 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.