NIFL Premiership Gameweek 28
Feb 10, 2026 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena
  • Paul Heatley 15' goal
  • Luke McCullough 35' goal
  • Lorcan Donnelly 87' yellowcard
  • goal Peter Campbell 76'

Carrick Rangers vs Glenavon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Carrick Rangers

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Feb 3, 2026 7.45pm
Carrick 3 - 2 Bangor
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Aidan Steele

Glenavon

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Jan 31, 2026 3.00pm
Glenavon 0 - 0 Cliftonville
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Jack Malone

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrick Rangers win with a probability of 57.28%. A win for Glenavon had a probability of 22.24% and a draw had a probability of 20.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carrick Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Glenavon win was 0-1 (5.31%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result

Carrick Rangers 57.28% (-7.25)
Draw 20.53% (+0.48)
Glenavon 22.24% (+6.84)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.35% (+3.68)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.89% (+0.74)
Under 1.5 20.11% (-0.75)
Over 2.5 58.11% (+1.09)
Under 2.5 41.88% (-1.10)
Over 3.5 37.49% (+2.20)
Under 3.5 62.51% (-2.20)
Over 4.5 23.21% (+0.06)
Under 4.5 76.79% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Carrick Rangers 37.3% (-6.85)
Draw 38.98% (+0.53)
Glenavon 23.72% (+6.31)

Team To Score First

Carrick Rangers 57.02% (-8.73)
No Goal 4.55% (-0.88)
Glenavon 38.43% (+9.61)

Corners

Over 8 56.96% (+0.11)
Equal 8 11.59% (-0.07)
Under 8 31.45% (-0.06)
Over 9 45.22% (+0.16)
Equal 9 11.74% (-0.05)
Under 9 43.04% (-0.11)
Over 10.5 34.31% (+0.18)
Under 10.5 65.68% (-0.19)

Carrick Rangers Goals

Over 1.5 55.51% (-4.35)
Under 1.5 44.49% (+4.35)
Over 2.5 29.58% (-4.86)
Under 2.5 70.42% (+4.86)
Over 3.5 12.82% (-3.47)
Under 3.5 87.18% (+3.47)

Glenavon Goals

Over 0.5 58.75% (+9.00)
Under 0.5 41.25% (-9.00)
Over 1.5 27.51% (+8.18)
Under 1.5 72.49% (-8.18)
Over 2.5 9.42% (+4.03)
Under 2.5 90.58% (-4.04)
Over 3.5 2.86% (+1.47)
Under 3.5 97.14% (-1.47)

Score analysis

Carrick Rangers 57.28%
Draw 20.55%
Glenavon 22.23%
Carrick Rangers
1-0 @ 10.31% (-0.70)
2-1 @ 9.76%
2-0 @ 8.69% (-1.47)
3-1 @ 6.49% (-0.13)
3-0 @ 4.95% (-2.42)
3-2 @ 4.27% (+0.93)
Other @ 12.81% (-3.46)
Total : 57.28%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.68% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.26% (+1.09)
0-0 @ 4.55% (-0.88)
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 20.55%
Glenavon
0-1 @ 5.31% (+0.91)
1-2 @ 5.16% (+1.07)
0-2 @ 3.4% (+1.06)
1-3 @ 2.53% (+1.18)
2-3 @ 2.22% (+0.89)
Other @ 2.85% (+1.48)
Total : 22.23%

Head to Head

NIFL Premiership
Oct 18, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
NIFL Premiership
Aug 16, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 5
Apr 26, 2025 3.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 1
FT Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena
  • Steven Gordon 73' yellowcard
  • 83' yellowcard
  • goal Paul McGovern 18'
  • goal Peter Campbell 54'
  • yellowcard 73'
  • yellowcard Len O'Sullivan 73'
  • goal Aaron Heaney 75'
  • goal Peter Campbell 85'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 27
Jan 25, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Mourneview Park
  • Jack Malone 48' yellowcard
  • Peter Campbell 49' goal
  • Peter Campbell 49' goal
  • Peter Campbell 69' yellowcard
  • Paul McGovern 90'+3' goal
  • Paul McGovern 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Ben Buchanan-Rolleston 12'
  • redcard Ben Buchanan-Rolleston 23'
  • goal Dan Purkis 89'
  • goal Dan Purkis 89'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 14
Oct 26, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Mourneview Park
  • Ben Buchanan-Rolleston 72' yellowcard
  • David McDaid 90'+1' goal
  • redcard Ross Glendinning 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Seanan Clucas 65'
  • goal David Cushley 89'
  • yellowcard Ben Buchanan-Rolleston 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Paul Heatley 90'+5'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 1
Aug 10, 2024 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena
  • Curtis Allen 16' goal
  • Nedas Macuilaitis 32' goal
  • Cameron Stewart 42' yellowcard
  • yellowcard James Carroll 76'