NIFL Premiership Gameweek 29
Feb 14, 2026 3.00pm
Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena

Carrick Rangers vs Coleraine - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Carrick Rangers

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Feb 10, 2026 7.45pm
Carrick 2 - 1 Glenavon
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Aidan Steele

Coleraine

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Feb 10, 2026 7.45pm
Coleraine 2 - 1 Portadown
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Joel Cooper

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Coleraine win with a probability of 53.28%. A draw has a probability of 23.74% and a win for Carrick Rangers has a probability of 22.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (9.59%) and 0-2 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.34%) , while for a Carrick Rangers win it is 1-0 (6.22%).

Result

Carrick Rangers 22.99% (-0.11)
Draw 23.74%
Coleraine 53.28% (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.19% (+0.09)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.51% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 21.49% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 54.55% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 45.45% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 32.43% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 67.57% (-0.06)
Over 4.5 19.71% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 80.29% (-0.01)

First Half Winner

Carrick Rangers 19.82% (+0.02)
Draw 37.88% (+0.03)
Coleraine 42.3% (-0.05)

Team To Score First

Carrick Rangers 37.89% (-0.04)
No Goal 5.68% (-0.05)
Coleraine 56.43% (+0.08)

Corners

Over 8 57.54% (-0.07)
Equal 8 11.77% (-0.01)
Under 8 30.68% (+0.06)
Over 9 45.56% (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.98% (-0.02)
Under 9 42.46% (+0.07)
Over 10.5 34.4% (-0.03)
Under 10.5 65.6% (+0.02)

Carrick Rangers Goals

Over 1.5 26.23% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 73.77% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 9.32% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 90.68% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 2.39% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 97.61% (+0.05)

Coleraine Goals

Over 0.5 81.32% (+0.15)
Under 0.5 18.68% (-0.15)
Over 1.5 52.53% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 47.47% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 26.02% (+0.10)
Under 2.5 73.98% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 11.48% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 88.52% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Carrick Rangers 22.98%
Draw 23.74%
Coleraine 53.28%
Carrick Rangers
1-0 @ 6.22% (-0.07)
2-1 @ 5.65% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 3.28% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 2.21% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.12% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.37% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.13% (-0.05)
Total : 22.98%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.34% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.68% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 5.23% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.23% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.26% (-0.02)
Total : 23.74%
Coleraine
1-2 @ 9.82% (-0.04)
0-1 @ 9.59% (+0.06)
0-2 @ 9.34% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 5.28% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 5.28% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.75%
Other @ 11.22% (+0.07)
Total : 53.28%

Head to Head

NIFL Premiership
Dec 6, 2025 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • 41' yellowcard
  • Levi Ives 41' yellowcard
  • 51' yellowcard
  • Dylan Boyle 51' yellowcard
  • Charles Dunne 60' goal
  • 60' yellowcard
  • Cameron Stewart 60' yellowcard
  • 67' yellowcard
  • Charles Dunne 67' yellowcard
  • Jamie McGonigle 84' goal
  • Dean Jarvis 89' goal
  • goal Adam Lecky 29'
  • yellowcard 44'
  • yellowcard Adam Lecky 44'
  • yellowcard Joe Crowe 78'
NIFL Premiership
Sep 27, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 28
Feb 8, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena
  • Ethan Boyle 13' yellowcard
  • 77' yellowcard
  • goal Rhyss Campbell 76'
  • yellowcard Jamie McGonigle 90'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 22
Oct 12, 2024 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena
  • Paul Heatley 10' goal
  • Kurtis Forsythe 27' yellowcard
  • Dan Purkis 36' goal
  • Kyle Cherry 41' yellowcard
  • Ross Glendinning 57' yellowcard
  • David Cushley 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Graham Kelly 21'
  • yellowcard Jamie Glackin 53'
  • goal Jamie Glackin 59'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 7
Sep 14, 2024 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT The Showgrounds
  • Connor Murray 30' goal
  • Cameron Stewart 44' yellowcard
  • Mackenzie Carse 56' goal
  • Connor Murray 57' yellowcard
  • Matthew Shevlin 66' yellowcard
  • Rhyss Campbell 72' goal
  • yellowcard Nedas Macuilaitis 19'
  • goal Paul Heatley 32'
  • yellowcard Steven Gordon 68'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 26
Jan 20, 2024 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT The Showgrounds
  • Jack Scott 16' yellowcard
  • Conor McKendry 62' yellowcard
  • Lyndon Kane 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lewis Mackinnon 30'
  • goal David Cushley 59'
  • goal Dan Purkis 86'
  • yellowcard Kyle Cherry 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Ross Glendinning 90'+6'