Scottish League One Gameweek 20
Mar 17, 2026 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Tulloch Caledonian Stadium
  • Chanka Zimba 19' goal
  • Jordan Alonge 43' goal
  • Chanka Zimba 56' goal
  • Adam Mackinnon 89' yellowcard
  • Paul Allan 90' yellowcard
  • Kieron Willox 90' yellowcard
  • Paul Allan 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Kieron Willox 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Max Barry 57'
  • yellowcard Adam Carnwath 57'
  • yellowcard Craig McGuffie 57'
  • yellowcard Cammy Smith 57'
  • goal Kieran Shanks 64'
  • yellowcard Robert Jones 69'
  • yellowcard Robert Jones 70'

Inverness Caledonian Thistle vs Peterhead - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Inverness Caledonian Thistle

All competitions
Scottish League One
Last game
Mar 14, 2026 3.00pm
Inverness 1 - 1 Cove Rangers
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Alfie Bavidge

Peterhead

All competitions
Scottish League One
Last game
Mar 14, 2026 3.00pm
Peterhead 0 - 1 Stenhousemuir
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Kieran Shanks

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 75.61%. A draw had a probability of 15.56% and a win for Peterhead had a probability of 8.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.45%) and 3-0 (10.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.63%) , while for a Peterhead win it was 0-1 (3.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result

Inverness Caledonian Thistle 75.61% (-0.43)
Draw 15.56% (+0.20)
Peterhead 8.86% (+0.22)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.4% (+0.31)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.7% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 19.3% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 58.85% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 41.15% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 36.26% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 63.74% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 25.91% (+0.13)
Under 4.5 74.09% (-0.12)

First Half Winner

Inverness Caledonian Thistle 50.28% (-1.18)
Draw 33.85% (+0.11)
Peterhead 15.87% (+1.07)

Team To Score First

Inverness Caledonian Thistle 70.13% (-1.68)
No Goal 4.67% (+0.13)
Peterhead 25.2% (+1.56)

Corners

Over 8 56.61% (+1.41)
Equal 8 11.61% (+0.42)
Under 8 31.78% (-1.83)
Over 9 44.89% (+0.87)
Equal 9 11.72% (+0.55)
Under 9 43.39% (-1.41)
Over 10.5 34.04% (+0.33)
Under 10.5 65.96% (-0.33)

Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals

Over 1.5 68.04% (-0.33)
Under 1.5 31.96% (+0.34)
Over 2.5 41.95% (-0.10)
Under 2.5 58.05% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 21.85% (+0.15)
Under 3.5 78.15% (-0.15)

Peterhead Goals

Over 0.5 39.07% (+0.15)
Under 0.5 60.93% (-0.15)
Over 1.5 11.57% (+0.33)
Under 1.5 88.43% (-0.32)
Over 2.5 2.13% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 97.87% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 0.46% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 99.54% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Inverness Caledonian Thistle 75.62%
Draw 15.58%
Peterhead 8.85%
Inverness Caledonian Thistle
2-0 @ 12.86% (-0.25)
1-0 @ 11.45% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 10.16% (-0.12)
2-1 @ 9.72% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 6.92% (-0.16)
3-2 @ 2.67% (+0.03)
Other @ 21.84% (+0.15)
Total : 75.62%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.63% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 4.67% (+0.13)
2-2 @ 2.92% (+0.11)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 15.58%
Peterhead
0-1 @ 3.23% (+0.05)
1-2 @ 2.51% (+0.12)
0-2 @ 1.34% (+0.08)
Other @ 0.45% (+0.02)
Total : 8.85%

Head to Head

Scottish League One
Oct 25, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish League One
Aug 9, 2025 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish League Cup
Jul 13, 2021 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Tulloch Caledonian Stadium
  • Manny Duku 50' goal
  • Aaron Doran 54' goal
  • yellowcard Jordon Brown 86'
  • yellowcard Russell McLean 89'
  • yellowcard Ryan Conroy 90'
Scottish League Cup
Jul 16, 2019 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • yellowcard Charlie Trafford 91'
Scottish Challenge Cup
Oct 7, 2017 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Liam Polworth 2' goal
  • Riccardo Calder 51' goal
  • Daniel Mackay 93' goal