Scottish League One
Feb 14, 2026 5.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT New Douglas Park
  • Tony Gallacher 46' yellowcard
  • Ben Black 86' yellowcard
  • goal Alfie Bavidge 37'
  • yellowcard Luis Longstaff 69'
  • yellowcard George McCartney 69'
  • yellowcard Kieron Willox 82'
  • yellowcard Jordan Alonge 87'

Hamilton Academical vs Inverness Caledonian Thistle - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hamilton Academical

All competitions
Scottish League One
Last game
Jan 31, 2026 3.00pm
Kelty Hearts 0 - 0 Hamilton
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Oli Shaw

Inverness Caledonian Thistle

All competitions
Scottish League One
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 3.00pm
Inverness 3 - 0 East Fife
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Alfie Bavidge

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 50.66%. A win for Hamilton Academical has a probability of 25.61% and a draw has a probability of 23.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (10.06%) and 0-2 (8.03%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win is 1-0 (6.72%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.08%).

Result

Hamilton Academical 25.61% (-0.09)
Draw 23.73% (+0.02)
Inverness Caledonian Thistle 50.66% (+0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.06%

Goals

Over 1.5 77.05% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 22.95% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 54.13% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 45.87% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 31.32% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 68.68% (+0.03)
Over 4.5 18.06% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 81.94% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Hamilton Academical 22.9% (-0.03)
Draw 41.39%
Inverness Caledonian Thistle 35.71% (+0.03)

Team To Score First

Hamilton Academical 36.51% (-0.07)
No Goal 6.11% (+0.02)
Inverness Caledonian Thistle 57.38% (+0.06)

Corners

Over 8 56.22%
Equal 8 11.59%
Under 8 32.19%
Over 9 44.56%
Equal 9 11.66%
Under 9 43.78%
Over 10.5 33.78% (-0.01)
Under 10.5 66.22% (+0.02)

Hamilton Academical Goals

Over 1.5 28.87% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 71.13% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 9.32% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 90.68% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 2.66% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 97.34% (+0.02)

Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals

Over 0.5 79.24% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 20.76% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 49.05% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 50.95% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 23.37% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 76.63% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 9.09% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 90.91% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Hamilton Academical 25.61%
Draw 23.74%
Inverness Caledonian Thistle 50.65%
Hamilton Academical
1-0 @ 6.72% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 6.69% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 3.81% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.3% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.97% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 1.47%
Other @ 2.65% (-0.02)
Total : 25.61%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.08% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.11% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.62%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 23.74%
Inverness Caledonian Thistle
0-1 @ 10.12% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 10.06% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 8.03% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 5.34% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 4.59% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 3.43%
Other @ 9.08% (+0.01)
Total : 50.65%

Head to Head

Scottish League One
Dec 13, 2025 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Mitchell Robertson 3' goal
  • Chanka Zimba 41' goal
  • Alfie Bavidge 53' goal
  • Billy Mckay 74' goal
  • yellowcard Kyle MacDonald 27'
  • yellowcard Stephen Hendrie 57'
  • yellowcard Stephen Hendrie 59'
Scottish League One
Oct 4, 2025 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Championship Playoffs
May 18, 2024 5.30pm
2
3
HT : 1 3
FT Tulloch Caledonian Stadium
  • Cammy Kerr 31' goal
  • Alex Samuel 90'+8' goal
  • goal Kevin O'Hara 8'
  • goal Lewis Smith 12'
  • goal Kevin O'Hara 41'
  • yellowcard Reghan Tumilty 43'
  • yellowcard Ben Williamson 51'
  • yellowcard Scott Martin 82'
Scottish Championship Playoffs
May 15, 2024 8.05pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT The Hope CBD Stadium
  • Kevin O'Hara 6' goal
  • Fergus Owens 22' goal
  • Kevin O'Hara 43' yellowcard
  • goal Aribim Pepple 68'
  • yellowcard Adam Brooks 84'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 35
Apr 18, 2023 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Connor Smith 72' goal
  • goal Nathan Shaw 75'
  • goal Billy Mckay 88'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 18
Feb 21, 2023 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Daniel O'Reilly 19' goal
  • Connor Smith 73' goal
  • goal Scott Allardice 43'