Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 40.97%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 34.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.17%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 1-2 (7.96%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Queen of the South | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
| 40.97% ( | 24.52% ( | 34.51% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.14% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.28% ( | 43.72% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.89% ( | 66.11% ( |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.6% ( | 21.4% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.61% ( | 54.39% ( |
| Hamilton Academical Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.25% ( | 24.75% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.69% | 59.31% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Queen of the South | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
| 2-1 @ 8.79% 1-0 @ 8.17% 2-0 @ 6.3% 3-1 @ 4.52% ( 3-0 @ 3.24% ( 3-2 @ 3.15% 4-1 @ 1.74% ( 4-0 @ 1.25% 4-2 @ 1.22% Other @ 2.6% Total : 40.97% | 1-1 @ 11.4% 2-2 @ 6.14% 0-0 @ 5.3% ( 3-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.52% | 1-2 @ 7.96% 0-1 @ 7.4% ( 0-2 @ 5.16% ( 1-3 @ 3.71% 2-3 @ 2.86% ( 0-3 @ 2.4% 1-4 @ 1.29% ( 2-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.74% Total : 34.51% |