Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Rayyan win with a probability of 46.34%. A win for Al Arabi had a probability of 31.27% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Al-Rayyan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.43%) and 0-2 (6%). The likeliest Al Arabi win was 2-1 (7.26%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.