Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 45.64%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 30% and a draw had a probability of 24.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 (7.26%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.