Alloa Athletic
Cove Rangers
East Fife
Hamilton logo
Inverness CT
Kelty Hearts
Montrose
Peterhead
Queen of the South
Stenhousemuir
Hamilton logo
Scottish League One
Dec 20, 2025 at 3pm UK
 
Alloa Athletic

1-0

Robinson (25')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Hamilton Academical and Alloa Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hamilton 1-0 Alloa
Saturday, December 20 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Next Game: QotS vs. Hamilton
Saturday, December 27 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Hamilton 1-0 Alloa
Saturday, December 20 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Next Game: Alloa vs. Stenhousemuir
Saturday, December 27 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 45.64%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 30% and a draw had a probability of 24.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 (7.26%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.

Result
Hamilton AcademicalDrawAlloa Athletic
45.64% (-1.059 -1.06)24.36% (0.013000000000002 0.01)30% (1.045 1.05)
Both teams to score 57.83% (0.61499999999999 0.61)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.37% (0.518 0.52)44.63% (-0.517 -0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.01% (0.499 0.5)66.99% (-0.5 -0.5)
Hamilton Academical Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.31% (-0.23699999999999 -0.24)19.69% (0.239 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.32% (-0.388 -0.39)51.68% (0.39 0.39)
Alloa Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.01% (0.979 0.98)27.99% (-0.978 -0.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.37% (1.23 1.23)63.63% (-1.229 -1.23)
Score Analysis
    Hamilton Academical 45.64%
    Alloa Athletic 30%
    Draw 24.36%
Hamilton AcademicalDrawAlloa Athletic
2-1 @ 9.27% (-0.090999999999999 -0.09)
1-0 @ 8.96% (-0.27 -0.27)
2-0 @ 7.28% (-0.275 -0.27)
3-1 @ 5.02% (-0.087000000000001 -0.09)
3-0 @ 3.94% (-0.18 -0.18)
3-2 @ 3.2% (0.032 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.04% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.6% (-0.085 -0.09)
4-2 @ 1.3% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 45.64%
1-1 @ 11.4% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.9% (0.103 0.1)
0-0 @ 5.51% (-0.124 -0.12)
3-3 @ 1.36% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.36%
1-2 @ 7.26% (0.179 0.18)
0-1 @ 7.02% (0.036 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.47% (0.143 0.14)
1-3 @ 3.08% (0.158 0.16)
2-3 @ 2.5% (0.11 0.11)
0-3 @ 1.9% (0.11 0.11)
1-4 @ 0.98% (0.075 0.08)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 30%

Head to Head
Aug 23, 2025 3pm
May 11, 2024 3pm
Semi-Finals 2nd Leg
Hamilton
3-2
Alloa
Tumilty (18'), Smith (43'), Rose (77')
Davidson (55'), Tumilty (58'), Owens (83')
Coulson (7'), Sammon (57')
Neill (45'), McKay (90+1')
Neill (45')
May 7, 2024 7.45pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Alloa
2-2
Hamilton
Steven (47'), Roberts (54')
O'Donnel (89')
Henderson (31'), O'Hara (75')
O'Hara (90+2')
Apr 27, 2024 3pm
gameweek 35
Alloa
0-1
Hamilton

Roy (48')
O'Hara (28')
Martin (45'), Williamson (59')
Feb 24, 2024 3pm
gameweek 26
Hamilton
1-2
Alloa
Henderson (61')
Roberts (58'), Robertson (84')
rhs 2.0


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