Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 65.26%. A draw had a probability of 19.45% and a win for Perth Glory had a probability of 15.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 1-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.12%) , while for a Perth Glory win it was 1-2 (4.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.