Australian A-League
Dec 28, 2025 8.00am
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • German Ferreyra 74' yellowcard
  • Aziz Behich 85' yellowcard
  • Andrew Nabbout 90'+3' goal
  • goal Tom Lawrence 10'
  • goal Tom Lawrence 22'
  • yellowcard Giovanni De Abreu 68'
  • goal Tom Lawrence 80'
  • yellowcard 85'
  • yellowcard <TBD> 90'+6'
  • yellowcard A. Griffiths 90'+6'
  • yellowcard 90'+6'

Melbourne City vs Perth Glory - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne City

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Dec 23, 2025 8.15am
Melbourne City 1 - 1 Macarthur
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Medin Memeti

Perth Glory

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Dec 20, 2025 10.45am
Perth Glory 0 - 1 Adelaide United
Goals scored
14
Top scorer
Tom Lawrence

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 65.26%. A draw had a probability of 19.45% and a win for Perth Glory had a probability of 15.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 1-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.12%) , while for a Perth Glory win it was 1-2 (4.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.

Result

Melbourne City 65.26% (-0.41)
Draw 19.45% (+0.22)
Perth Glory 15.3% (+0.21)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.13% (-0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5 60.14% (-0.56)
Under 2.5 39.86% (+0.57)
Over 3.5 37.78% (-0.59)
Under 3.5 62.22% (+0.59)
Over 4.5 20.38% (-0.46)
Under 4.5 79.62% (+0.46)

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5 88.54% (-0.27)
Under 0.5 11.46% (+0.28)
Over 1.5 63.72% (-0.59)
Under 1.5 36.28% (+0.60)

Perth Glory Goals

Over 0.5 61.13% (-0.09)
Under 0.5 38.87% (+0.09)
Over 1.5 24.4% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 75.6% (+0.09)

Score analysis

Melbourne City 65.26%
Draw 19.45%
Perth Glory 15.3%
Melbourne City
2-0 @ 10.45% (+0.05)
2-1 @ 9.88% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 9.65% (+0.15)
3-0 @ 7.55% (-0.06)
3-1 @ 7.13% (-0.07)
4-0 @ 4.09% (-0.08)
4-1 @ 3.86% (-0.08)
3-2 @ 3.37% (-0.04)
4-2 @ 1.83% (-0.05)
5-0 @ 1.77% (-0.06)
5-1 @ 1.67% (-0.06)
Other @ 4.01%
Total : 65.26%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.12% (+0.12)
2-2 @ 4.67% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.45% (+0.12)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 19.45%
Perth Glory
1-2 @ 4.31% (+0.05)
0-1 @ 4.21% (+0.10)
0-2 @ 1.99% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 1.47% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.36% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 15.3%

Head to Head

Australian A-League
Oct 25, 2025 7.00am
4
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Australian A-League Gameweek 19
Feb 15, 2025 6.00am
1
0
HT : 2 0
FT Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
  • Lawrence Wong 37' goal
  • Lawrence Wong 37' goal
Australian A-League Gameweek 4
Nov 10, 2024 9.45am
0
5
HT : 0 2
FT nib Stadium
  • Nicholas Pennington 62' yellowcard
  • goal Steven Ugarkovic 40'
  • goal Steven Ugarkovic 45'
  • goal Andreas Kuen 46'
  • goal Yonatan Cohen 83'
  • goal Medin Memeti 89'
Australian A-League Gameweek 24
Apr 14, 2024 6.00am
8
0
HT : 10 0
FT AAMI Park
  • Leo Natel 14' goal
  • Leo Natel 14' goal
  • Tolgay Arslan 16' goal
  • Tolgay Arslan 16' goal
  • Kaelan Majekodunmi 19' goal
  • Kaelan Majekodunmi 19' goal
  • Tolgay Arslan 26' goal
  • Tolgay Arslan 26' goal
  • Leo Natel 29' goal
  • Leo Natel 29' goal
  • James Jeggo 43' yellowcard
  • James Jeggo 43' yellowcard
  • Jamie MacLaren 60' goal
  • Jamie MacLaren 60' goal
  • Tolgay Arslan 73' goal
  • Tolgay Arslan 73' goal
  • Steven Ugarkovic 86' goal
  • Steven Ugarkovic 86' goal
  • Leo Natel 89' yellowcard
  • Leo Natel 89' yellowcard
  • Steven Ugarkovic 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Steven Ugarkovic 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jarrod Carluccio 83'
  • yellowcard Jarrod Carluccio 83'
Australian A-League Gameweek 15
Feb 2, 2024 10.45am
4
2
HT : 1 1
FT HBF Park
  • Stefan Colakovski 48' yellowcard
  • Mustafa Amini 45'+4' goal
  • Mustafa Amini 63' yellowcard
  • Scott Galloway 68' goal
  • Adam Taggart 70' goal
  • Jarrod Carluccio 80' yellowcard
  • Joel Anasmo 90'+8' goal
  • goal Aleksandar Susnjar 21' (OG)
  • goal Tolgay Arslan 60'
  • yellowcard Mathew Leckie 84'
  • redcard Tolgay Arslan 90'+10'
Australian A-League Gameweek 7
Dec 8, 2023 10.45am
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT HBF Park
  • John Koutroumbis 37' yellowcard
  • Adam Taggart 45'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Callum Talbot 16'
  • goal Tolgay Arslan 38'
  • goal Mathew Leckie 66'