Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 51.41%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 26.84% and a draw had a probability of 21.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Adelaide United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.8%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 2-1 (6.56%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Perth Glory | Draw | Adelaide United |
| 26.84% ( | 21.75% ( | 51.41% ( |
| Both teams to score 64.76% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.53% ( | 34.47% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.61% ( | 56.39% ( |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.07% ( | 24.93% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.44% ( | 59.56% ( |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.27% ( | 13.73% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.01% ( | 40.99% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Perth Glory | Draw | Adelaide United |
| 2-1 @ 6.56% ( 1-0 @ 4.76% ( 2-0 @ 3.3% ( 3-1 @ 3.04% ( 3-2 @ 3.01% ( 3-0 @ 1.53% ( 4-1 @ 1.05% ( 4-2 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 2.55% Total : 26.84% | 1-1 @ 9.44% ( 2-2 @ 6.51% ( 0-0 @ 3.42% ( 3-3 @ 2% ( Other @ 0.39% Total : 21.75% | 1-2 @ 9.37% ( 0-1 @ 6.8% ( 0-2 @ 6.75% ( 1-3 @ 6.2% ( 0-3 @ 4.47% ( 2-3 @ 4.31% ( 1-4 @ 3.08% ( 0-4 @ 2.22% ( 2-4 @ 2.14% ( 1-5 @ 1.22% ( 3-4 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 3.86% Total : 51.41% |