Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 41.16%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 35.91% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.26%) and 0-2 (5.38%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 2-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Perth Glory | Draw | Adelaide United |
| 35.91% ( | 22.93% ( | 41.16% ( |
| Both teams to score 65.39% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.3% ( | 35.7% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.24% ( | 57.76% ( |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.68% ( | 20.32% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.3% ( | 52.69% ( |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.06% ( | 17.93% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.25% ( | 48.75% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Perth Glory | Draw | Adelaide United |
| 2-1 @ 7.95% ( 1-0 @ 5.81% ( 2-0 @ 4.63% ( 3-1 @ 4.22% ( 3-2 @ 3.63% ( 3-0 @ 2.46% ( 4-1 @ 1.68% ( 4-2 @ 1.45% ( 4-0 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 3.1% Total : 35.91% | 1-1 @ 9.98% ( 2-2 @ 6.83% ( 0-0 @ 3.64% ( 3-3 @ 2.08% ( Other @ 0.4% Total : 22.93% | 1-2 @ 8.57% ( 0-1 @ 6.26% ( 0-2 @ 5.38% ( 1-3 @ 4.91% ( 2-3 @ 3.91% ( 0-3 @ 3.08% ( 1-4 @ 2.11% ( 2-4 @ 1.68% ( 0-4 @ 1.32% ( Other @ 3.92% Total : 41.16% |