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Perth Glory
Australian A-League | Gameweek 25
Apr 23, 2023 at 9am UK
nib Stadium
Adelaide United

Perth Glory
4 - 4
Adelaide United

Williams (32'), Taggart (60', 90+6'), Zimarino (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Jovanovic (34'), Goodwin (51'), Kitto (78'), Irankunda (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Australian A-League clash between Perth Glory and Adelaide United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sydney FC 4-1 Perth Glory
Sunday, April 16 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Adelaide United 0-1 Western Utd
Sunday, April 16 at 8am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 41.16%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 35.91% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.26%) and 0-2 (5.38%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 2-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
Perth GloryDrawAdelaide United
35.91% (-0.293 -0.29)22.93% (0.138 0.14)41.16% (0.151 0.15)
Both teams to score 65.39% (-0.59 -0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.3% (-0.747 -0.75)35.7% (0.744 0.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.24% (-0.828 -0.83)57.76% (0.824 0.82)
Perth Glory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.68% (-0.47800000000001 -0.48)20.32% (0.474 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.3% (-0.767 -0.77)52.69% (0.763 0.76)
Adelaide United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.06% (-0.25 -0.25)17.93% (0.246 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.25% (-0.428 -0.43)48.75% (0.423 0.42)
Score Analysis
    Perth Glory 35.91%
    Adelaide United 41.16%
    Draw 22.93%
Perth GloryDrawAdelaide United
2-1 @ 7.95% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-0 @ 5.81% (0.131 0.13)
2-0 @ 4.63% (0.037 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.22% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.63% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-0 @ 2.46% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.68% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.45% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-0 @ 0.98% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 35.91%
1-1 @ 9.98% (0.146 0.15)
2-2 @ 6.83% (-0.055 -0.05)
0-0 @ 3.64% (0.134 0.13)
3-3 @ 2.08% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 22.93%
1-2 @ 8.57% (0.057 0.06)
0-1 @ 6.26% (0.182 0.18)
0-2 @ 5.38% (0.114 0.11)
1-3 @ 4.91% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.91% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-3 @ 3.08% (0.041 0.04)
1-4 @ 2.11% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.68% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.32% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 41.16%

How you voted: Perth Glory vs Adelaide United

Perth Glory
13.3%
Draw
13.3%
Adelaide United
73.3%
15
Head to Head
Jan 2, 2023 8.45am
gameweek 10
Adelaide United
2-0
Perth Glory
Barr (40'), Halloran (72')

Beevers (18')
Oct 30, 2022 4am
gameweek 4
Adelaide United
2-1
Perth Glory
Goodwin (18'), Ibusuki (22')
Warland (26')
Colli (32')
Apr 24, 2022 8.05am
gameweek 6
Adelaide United
2-0
Perth Glory
Oliveira (24'), Irankunda (90+4')
Brook (45')
Mar 6, 2022 8.05am
gameweek 17
Perth Glory
1-2
Adelaide United
Fornaroli (90' pen.)
Fornaroli (28')
Ibusuki (45+1'), Toure (59')
Barr (28'), Tratt (54'), Ibusuki (69')
Nov 20, 2021 11.05am
gameweek 1
Perth Glory
1-1
Adelaide United
Fornaroli (40')
Stynes (79'), Ota (90+5')
Yengi (22')
Sanchez (79')