Australian A-League Gameweek 22
Mar 31, 2023 9.45am
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT Spotless Stadium
  • Kusini Yengi 44' goal
  • Marcelo 60' goal
  • goal Benjamin Warland 37'
  • goal Benjamin Warland 49'
  • goal Hiroshi Ibusuki 55'

Western Sydney Wanderers vs Adelaide United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Western Sydney Wanderers

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Mar 18, 2023 8.45am
Sydney FC 0 - 4 Western Sydney
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Brandon Borrello

Adelaide United

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Mar 17, 2023 8.45am
Adelaide United 5 - 1 Wellington
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Craig Goodwin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 50.17%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 27.3% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.59%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-3 win for Adelaide United in this match.

Result

Western Sydney Wanderers 50.17% (-1.08)
Draw 22.53% (+0.07)
Adelaide United 27.3% (+1.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.32% (+0.70)

Goals

Over 2.5 62.15% (+0.52)
Under 2.5 37.85% (-0.51)
Over 3.5 39.9% (+0.55)
Under 3.5 60.1% (-0.55)
Over 4.5 22.06% (+0.44)
Under 4.5 77.94% (-0.44)

Western Sydney Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5 84.66% (-0.18)
Under 0.5 15.35% (+0.19)
Over 1.5 55.89% (-0.35)
Under 1.5 44.11% (+0.35)

Adelaide United Goals

Over 0.5 73.62% (+0.99)
Under 0.5 26.38% (-0.98)
Over 1.5 38.46% (+1.29)
Under 1.5 61.54% (-1.29)

Score analysis

Western Sydney Wanderers 50.17%
Draw 22.53%
Adelaide United 27.3%
Western Sydney Wanderers
2-1 @ 9.48% (-0.09)
1-0 @ 7.59% (-0.24)
2-0 @ 7.11% (-0.27)
3-1 @ 5.92% (-0.10)
3-0 @ 4.44% (-0.20)
3-2 @ 3.94% (+0.05)
4-1 @ 2.77% (-0.07)
4-0 @ 2.08% (-0.11)
4-2 @ 1.85% (+0.02)
5-1 @ 1.04% (-0.04)
Other @ 3.95%
Total : 50.17%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.11% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 6.31% (+0.12)
0-0 @ 4.05% (-0.10)
3-3 @ 1.75% (+0.07)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 22.53%
Adelaide United
1-2 @ 6.74% (+0.17)
0-1 @ 5.4% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.59% (+0.11)
1-3 @ 2.99% (+0.16)
2-3 @ 2.8% (+0.13)
0-3 @ 1.6% (+0.10)
Other @ 4.18%
Total : 27.3%

Head to Head

Australian A-League Gameweek 17
Feb 19, 2023 4.00am
4
4
HT : 2 1
FT Coopers Stadium
  • Hiroshi Ibusuki 32' goal
  • Alexandar Popovic 45'+4' goal
  • Hiroshi Ibusuki 67' goal
  • Ryan Kitto 79' goal
  • goal Brandon Borrello 45'+1'
  • goal Brandon Borrello 50'
  • goal Calem Nieuwenhof 63'
  • goal Amor Layouni 90'+5'
Australian A-League Gameweek 19
Mar 20, 2022 8.05am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Thomas Aquilina 33' yellowcard
Australian A-League Gameweek 8
Mar 16, 2022 8.35am
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Craig Goodwin 8' goal
  • Ryan Kitto 50' yellowcard
  • Alexandar Popovic 65' yellowcard
  • goal Ramy Najjarine 26'
  • yellowcard Phillip Cancar 37'
  • yellowcard Bernie Ibini-Isei 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Jarrod Carluccio 56'
  • yellowcard Ramy Najjarine 67'
  • goal Phillip Cancar 75'
Australian A-League Gameweek 20
Jun 3, 2021 10.35am
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Ziggy Gordon 11' goal
  • Craig Goodwin 56' goal
  • Michael Jakobsen 71' yellowcard
  • Tomi Juric 74' yellowcard
  • goal Ryan Strain 22' (OG)
  • goal Graham Dorrans 30'
  • redcard Tass Mourdoukoutas 36'
  • yellowcard Keanu Baccus 76'
  • yellowcard Graham Dorrans 76'
  • yellowcard Dylan McGowan 90'+3'
Australian A-League Gameweek 16
Apr 10, 2021 10.10am
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Tomi Juric 11' goal
  • Louis D'Arrigo 30' yellowcard
  • Louis D'Arrigo 45' redcard
  • Ryan Strain 82' yellowcard
  • Joshua Cavallo 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Simon Cox 68'
  • redcard Mark Natta 77'
Australian A-League Gameweek 5
Feb 27, 2021 6.05am
2
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Ziggy Gordon 57' yellowcard
  • Bruce Kamau 61' goal
  • Mitchell Duke 90' goal
  • goal Craig Goodwin 2'
  • goal Stefan Mauk 44'
  • yellowcard Joe Caletti 58'
  • goal Mohamed Toure 82'
  • yellowcard Noah Smith 82'