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Western Sydney Wanderers
Australian A-League | Gameweek 22
Mar 31, 2023 at 9.45am UK
Spotless Stadium
Adelaide United

Western Sydney
2 - 3
Adelaide United

Yengi (44'), Marcelo (60')
Traore (57'), Nieuwenhof (90+2')
Marcelo (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Warland (37', 49'), Ibusuki (55')
Clough (75'), Gauci (76'), Barr (90+4'), Irankunda (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Australian A-League clash between Western Sydney Wanderers and Adelaide United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Western Sydney Wanderers

All competitions
Last Game: Sydney FC 0-4 Western Sydney
Saturday, March 18 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Adelaide United

All competitions
Last Game: Adelaide United 5-1 Wellington
Friday, March 17 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

We said: Western Sydney Wanderers 2-3 Adelaide United

 Both teams have a lot of attacking quality which should make for an entertaining fixture, but considering their dominant run of form as of late, the visitors should just edge things. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 50.17%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 27.3% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.59%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-3 win for Adelaide United in this match.

Result
Western Sydney WanderersDrawAdelaide United
50.17% (-1.072 -1.07) 22.53% (0.068999999999999 0.07) 27.3% (1.007 1.01)
Both teams to score 62.32% (0.699 0.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.15% (0.513 0.51)37.85% (-0.509 -0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.9% (0.54600000000001 0.55)60.1% (-0.54300000000001 -0.54)
Western Sydney Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.66% (-0.17999999999999 -0.18)15.35% (0.183 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.89% (-0.342 -0.34)44.11% (0.346 0.35)
Adelaide United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.62% (0.98299999999999 0.98)26.38% (-0.979 -0.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.46% (1.289 1.29)61.54% (-1.285 -1.29)
Score Analysis
    Western Sydney Wanderers 50.17%
    Adelaide United 27.3%
    Draw 22.53%
Western Sydney WanderersDrawAdelaide United
2-1 @ 9.48% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-0 @ 7.59% (-0.237 -0.24)
2-0 @ 7.11% (-0.269 -0.27)
3-1 @ 5.92% (-0.095 -0.09)
3-0 @ 4.44% (-0.198 -0.2)
3-2 @ 3.94% (0.046 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.77% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.08% (-0.107 -0.11)
4-2 @ 1.85% (0.01 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.04% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 3.95%
Total : 50.17%
1-1 @ 10.11% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.31% (0.114 0.11)
0-0 @ 4.05% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.75% (0.068 0.07)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 22.53%
1-2 @ 6.74% (0.164 0.16)
0-1 @ 5.4% (0.018 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.59% (0.11 0.11)
1-3 @ 2.99% (0.153 0.15)
2-3 @ 2.8% (0.126 0.13)
0-3 @ 1.6% (0.091 0.09)
1-4 @ 1% (0.077 0.08)
2-4 @ 0.93% (0.066 0.07)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 27.3%

How you voted: Western Sydney vs Adelaide United

Western Sydney Wanderers
44.4%
Draw
8.9%
Adelaide United
46.7%
45
Head to Head
Feb 19, 2023 4am
Adelaide United
4-4
Western Sydney
Ibusuki (32' pen., 67'), Popovic (45+4'), Kitto (79')
Kitto (48')
Borrello (45+1', 50'), Nieuwenhof (63'), Layouni (90+5')
Traore (38'), Amalfitano (42'), Cleur (55'), Schneiderlin (73')
Traore (90+1')
Mar 20, 2022 8.05am
Western Sydney
0-0
Adelaide United

Aquilina (33')
Mar 16, 2022 8.35am
Adelaide United
1-2
Western Sydney
Goodwin (8')
Kitto (50'), Popovic (65')
Najjarine (26'), Cancar (75')
Cancar (37'), Ibini-Isei (45+3'), Carluccio (56'), Najjarine (67')
Jun 3, 2021 10.35am
Adelaide United
2-2
Western Sydney
Gordon (11' og.), Goodwin (56')
Jakobsen (71'), Juric (74')
Strain (22' og.), Dorrans (30')
Baccus (76'), Dorrans (76'), McGowan (90+3')
Mourdoukoutas (36')
> Preview
Apr 10, 2021 10.10am
Adelaide United
1-1
Western Sydney
Juric (11')
D'Arrigo (30'), Strain (82'), Cavallo (90+2')
D'Arrigo (45')
Cox (68')
Natta (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wellington PhoenixWellington27158442261653
2Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast26164647272052
3Melbourne VictoryVictory271012543331042
4Sydney FCSydney FC271251052411141
5Macarthur2711884548-341
6Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney27114124448-437
7Melbourne CityMelbourne City261061049381136
8Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United2695125251132
9Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar2786134255-1330
10Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets27610113947-828
11Western UnitedWestern Utd2675143654-1826
12Perth GloryPerth Glory2757154669-2322
> Australian A-League Full Table


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