Australian A-League | Gameweek 17

Feb 19, 2023 at 4am UK

Coopers Stadium

Adelaide United
4 - 4
Western Sydney

Ibusuki (32' pen., 67'), Popovic (45+4'), Kitto (79')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Borrello (45+1', 50'), Nieuwenhof (63'), Layouni (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Australian A-League clash between Adelaide United and Western Sydney Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Adelaide United

All competitions

Last Game: Western Utd 2-3 Adelaide United
Saturday, February 11 at 6am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Western Sydney Wanderers

All competitions

Last Game: Western Sydney 0-1 Sydney FC
Saturday, February 11 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 42.71%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 31.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 0-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Adelaide United	Draw	Western Sydney Wanderers
42.71% ( 0.11)	25.31% ( 0.04)	31.97% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 55.58% (

-0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52% (

-0.25)

48% (

0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.83% (

-0.23)

70.17% (

0.23)

Adelaide United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.59% (

-0.05)

22.41% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.08% (

-0.08)

55.92% (

0.08)

Western Sydney Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.64% (

-0.22)

28.36% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.9% (

-0.28)

64.1% (

0.28)

Score Analysis

Adelaide United 42.72%

Western Sydney Wanderers 31.97%

Draw 25.3%

Adelaide United	Draw	Western Sydney Wanderers
1-0 @ 9.51% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 8.96% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.11% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.47% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.55% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.67% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.27% Total : 42.72%	1-1 @ 11.97% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.36% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.3%	0-1 @ 8.01% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.55% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.17% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.71% Total : 31.97%