Australian A-League Gameweek 15
Feb 4, 2023 8.45am
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Coopers Stadium
  • Louis D'Arrigo 34' goal
  • Nestory Irankunda 82' goal
  • goal Joe Knowles 37'

Adelaide United vs Brisbane Roar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Adelaide United

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Jan 29, 2023 4.00am
Melbourne City 3 - 3 Adelaide United
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Craig Goodwin

Brisbane Roar

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Jan 27, 2023 8.45am
Newcastle Jets 4 - 0 Brisbane Roar
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Jay O'Shea

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 44.54%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 29.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.

Result

Adelaide United 44.54% (+0.27)
Draw 25.89% (-0.10)
Brisbane Roar 29.57% (-0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.55% (+0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.58% (+0.32)
Under 2.5 51.42% (-0.32)
Over 3.5 26.77% (+0.28)
Under 3.5 73.23% (-0.28)

Adelaide United Goals

Over 0.5 76.99% (+0.27)
Under 0.5 23.01% (-0.27)
Over 1.5 43.18% (+0.39)
Under 1.5 56.81% (-0.39)

Brisbane Roar Goals

Over 0.5 68.26% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 31.74% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 31.83% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 68.17% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Adelaide United 44.54%
Draw 25.89%
Brisbane Roar 29.57%
Adelaide United
1-0 @ 10.73% (-0.05)
2-1 @ 9.05% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 7.88% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 4.43% (+0.06)
3-0 @ 3.86% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.54% (+0.04)
4-1 @ 1.63% (+0.04)
4-0 @ 1.42% (+0.03)
Other @ 3%
Total : 44.54%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.31% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 7.3% (-0.10)
2-2 @ 5.19% (+0.03)
Other @ 1.08%
Total : 25.89%
Brisbane Roar
0-1 @ 8.38% (-0.10)
1-2 @ 7.07% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.81% (-0.06)
1-3 @ 2.7% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.99% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.84% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 29.57%

Head to Head

Australian A-League Gameweek 7
Dec 9, 2022 8.45am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Suncorp Stadium
  • Jay O'Shea 90'+4' goal
  • goal George Blackwood 72'
Australian A-League Gameweek 26
Apr 30, 2022 10.45am
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • George Blackwood 15' goal
  • Hiroshi Ibusuki 28' goal
  • yellowcard Luke Ivanovic 18'
  • yellowcard Rahmat Akbari 22'
  • yellowcard Alex Parsons 50'
  • yellowcard Jack Hingert 87'
  • yellowcard Kai Trewin 89'
Australian A-League Gameweek 11
Jan 23, 2022 7.45am
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Nikola Mileusnic 2' goal
  • Jesse Daley 40' yellowcard
  • goal Craig Goodwin 24'
  • yellowcard Mohamed Toure 29'
  • goal Stefan Mauk 48'
  • yellowcard Isaias Sanchez 55'
  • yellowcard Stefan Mauk 69'
  • goal Craig Goodwin 85'
Australian A-League Gameweek 3
Dec 4, 2021 6.05am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jesse Daley 19' yellowcard
  • Anton Milinaric 60' yellowcard
  • Anton Mlinaric 60' yellowcard
  • Matti Steinmann 89' yellowcard
  • Jay O'Shea 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Javi Lopez 45'
  • yellowcard Joe Caletti 48'
  • yellowcard Stefan Mauk 60'
  • redcard Javi Lopez 90'+5'
Australian A-League
Jun 13, 2021 6.05am
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Moreton Bay Central Sports Complex 1
  • Alex Parsons 56' goal
  • Tom Aldred 67' yellowcard
  • goal Tomi Juric 15'
  • goal Tomi Juric 19'
  • yellowcard Louis D'Arrigo 68'
Australian A-League Gameweek 13
May 16, 2021 9.10am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Joe Caletti 14' yellowcard
  • Craig Goodwin 23' goal
  • Ben Halloran 79' yellowcard
  • Kusini Yengi 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Scott Neville 90'