Australian A-League | Gameweek 15

Feb 4, 2023 at 8.45am UK

Coopers Stadium

Adelaide United
2 - 1
Brisbane Roar

D'Arrigo (34'), Irankunda (82')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Knowles (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Adelaide United and Brisbane Roar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Adelaide United

All competitions

Last Game: Melbourne City 3-3 Adelaide United
Sunday, January 29 at 4am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Brisbane Roar

All competitions

Last Game: Newcastle Jets 4-0 Brisbane Roar
Friday, January 27 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 44.54%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 29.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.

Result
Adelaide United	Draw	Brisbane Roar
44.54% ( 0.27)	25.89% ( -0.1)	29.57% ( -0.17)

Both teams to score 52.55% (

0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.58% (

0.32)

51.42% (

-0.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.77% (

0.27)

73.23% (

-0.28)

Adelaide United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.99% (

0.26)

23.01% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.18% (

0.39)

56.81% (

-0.39)

Brisbane Roar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.26% (

0.04)

31.74% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.83% (

0.04)

68.17% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Adelaide United 44.54%

Brisbane Roar 29.57%

Draw 25.89%

Adelaide United	Draw	Brisbane Roar
1-0 @ 10.73% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.05% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.88% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.43% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.54% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.63% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.42% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.06% Total : 44.54%	1-1 @ 12.31% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 7.3% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.19% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.89%	0-1 @ 8.38% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 7.07% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.7% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.79% Total : 29.57%