Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 46.79%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 27.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.25%) and 0-2 (8.34%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 1-0 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Perth Glory | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
| 27.66% ( | 25.55% ( | 46.79% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.39% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.94% ( | 51.06% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.09% ( | 72.91% ( |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.01% ( | 32.99% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.43% ( | 69.57% ( |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.18% ( | 21.82% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.96% ( | 55.04% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Perth Glory | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
| 1-0 @ 7.98% 2-1 @ 6.74% ( 2-0 @ 4.43% ( 3-1 @ 2.49% ( 3-2 @ 1.9% ( 3-0 @ 1.64% ( Other @ 2.49% Total : 27.66% | 1-1 @ 12.15% 0-0 @ 7.2% ( 2-2 @ 5.13% ( 3-3 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.55% | 0-1 @ 10.95% ( 1-2 @ 9.25% ( 0-2 @ 8.34% ( 1-3 @ 4.69% ( 0-3 @ 4.23% ( 2-3 @ 2.6% ( 1-4 @ 1.79% ( 0-4 @ 1.61% ( 2-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.32% Total : 46.78% |