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Brisbane Roar
Australian A-League | Gameweek 7
Dec 9, 2022 at 8.45am UK
Suncorp Stadium
Adelaide United

Brisbane Roar
1 - 1
Adelaide United

O'Shea (90+4' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-0)
Blackwood (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Australian A-League clash between Brisbane Roar and Adelaide United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Adelaide United 3-0 Victory
Friday, November 11 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 39.2%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 35.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (6.29%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-0 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Brisbane RoarDrawAdelaide United
35.58% (-0.657 -0.66)25.22% (0.112 0.11)39.2% (0.546 0.55)
Both teams to score 56.86% (-0.46700000000001 -0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.24% (-0.573 -0.57)46.76% (0.575 0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.98% (-0.537 -0.54)69.02% (0.54000000000001 0.54)
Brisbane Roar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.43% (-0.63800000000001 -0.64)25.57% (0.641 0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.56% (-0.878 -0.88)60.44% (0.88 0.88)
Adelaide United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.4% (0.028999999999996 0.03)23.6% (-0.026 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.32% (0.039000000000001 0.04)57.68% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Brisbane Roar 35.58%
    Adelaide United 39.2%
    Draw 25.22%
Brisbane RoarDrawAdelaide United
1-0 @ 8.23% (0.048 0.05)
2-1 @ 8.1% (-0.096 -0.1)
2-0 @ 5.61% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-1 @ 3.68% (-0.113 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.66% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-0 @ 2.55% (-0.08 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.26% (-0.063 -0.06)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 35.58%
1-1 @ 11.88% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 6.03% (0.144 0.14)
2-2 @ 5.85% (-0.065 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.28% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.22%
0-1 @ 8.71% (0.215 0.22)
1-2 @ 8.58% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
0-2 @ 6.29% (0.16 0.16)
1-3 @ 4.13% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.03% (0.079 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.82% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.49% (0.013 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.09% (0.03 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.02% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 39.2%

How you voted: Brisbane Roar vs Adelaide United

Brisbane Roar
20.0%
Draw
37.5%
Adelaide United
42.5%
40
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2022 10.45am
Adelaide United
2-0
Brisbane Roar
Blackwood (15'), Ibusuki (28')

Ivanovic (18'), Akbari (22'), Parsons (50'), Hingert (87'), Trewin (89')
Jan 23, 2022 7.45am
Brisbane Roar
1-3
Adelaide United
Mileusnic (2')
Daley (40')
Goodwin (24' pen., 85'), Mauk (48' pen.)
Toure (29'), Sanchez (55'), Mauk (69')
Dec 4, 2021 6.05am
Brisbane Roar
0-0
Adelaide United

Daley (19'), Mlinaric (60'), Steinmann (89'), O'Shea (90+3')

Lopez (45'), Caletti (48'), Mauk (60')
Lopez (90+5')
Jun 13, 2021 6.05am
May 16, 2021 9.10am