Australian A-League Gameweek 6
Nov 11, 2022 8.45am
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Coopers Stadium
  • Hiroshi Ibusuki 37' goal
  • Craig Goodwin 86' goal
  • Benjamin Warland 90'+1' goal

Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Adelaide United

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Nov 6, 2022 6.00am
Western Utd 2 - 4 Adelaide United
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Craig Goodwin

Melbourne Victory

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Nov 4, 2022 8.45am
Victory 4 - 0 Newcastle Jets
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Bruno Fornaroli

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 38.17%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 36.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.15%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-0 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result

Adelaide United 36.46% (+0.66)
Draw 25.37% (+0.07)
Melbourne Victory 38.17% (-0.72)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.43% (-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.64% (-0.24)
Under 2.5 47.35% (+0.24)
Over 3.5 30.43% (-0.23)
Under 3.5 69.57% (+0.22)

Adelaide United Goals

Over 0.5 74.66% (+0.27)
Under 0.5 25.34% (-0.27)
Over 1.5 39.87% (+0.36)
Under 1.5 60.13% (-0.36)

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5 75.59% (-0.49)
Under 0.5 24.41% (+0.49)
Over 1.5 41.17% (-0.70)
Under 1.5 58.83% (+0.69)

Score analysis

Adelaide United 36.46%
Draw 25.36%
Melbourne Victory 38.17%
Adelaide United
1-0 @ 8.49% (+0.15)
2-1 @ 8.22% (+0.09)
2-0 @ 5.83% (+0.15)
3-1 @ 3.76% (+0.07)
3-0 @ 2.67% (+0.09)
3-2 @ 2.65% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.29% (+0.04)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 36.46%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.97% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 6.19% (+0.07)
2-2 @ 5.8% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.36%
Melbourne Victory
0-1 @ 8.72% (-0.04)
1-2 @ 8.44% (-0.10)
0-2 @ 6.15% (-0.12)
1-3 @ 3.97% (-0.11)
0-3 @ 2.89% (-0.10)
2-3 @ 2.72% (-0.05)
1-4 @ 1.4% (-0.06)
0-4 @ 1.02% (-0.05)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 38.17%

Head to Head

Australian A-League Gameweek 21
Apr 2, 2022 9.45am
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Hiroshi Ibusuki 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Juande 61' yellowcard
  • Javi Lopez 66' yellowcard
  • goal Marco Rojas 7'
  • yellowcard Matthew Spiranovic 27'
  • yellowcard Francesco Margiotta 49'
  • yellowcard Ivan Kelava 90'+6'
Australian A-League Gameweek 9
Jan 8, 2022 8.45am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Nicholas D'Agostino 84' goal
  • Lleyton Brooks 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard George Timotheou 49'
  • yellowcard Isaias Sanchez 79'
  • yellowcard Juande 90'
  • goal Craig Goodwin 90'+1'
  • redcard Isaias Sanchez 90'+2'
Australian A-League Gameweek 4
Dec 11, 2021 8.45am
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Kusini Yengi 26' yellowcard
  • Isaias Sanchez 31' yellowcard
  • Ben Halloran 39' yellowcard
  • Jacob Tratt 53' yellowcard
  • Jacob Tratt 70' goal
  • yellowcard Roderick Miranda 27'
  • yellowcard Jason Davidson 29'
  • goal Francesco Margiotta 59'
  • goal Nishan Velupillay 78'
  • redcard Jason Davidson 88'
  • yellowcard Robbie Kruse 90'+5'
Australian A-League Gameweek 26
May 23, 2021 9.10am
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Dylan Ryan 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Craig Goodwin 39'
  • yellowcard Juande 51'
  • yellowcard Joshua Cavallo 58'
  • yellowcard Ben Halloran 74'
  • yellowcard Javi Lopez 90'
  • yellowcard Craig Goodwin 90'+3'
Australian A-League Gameweek 12
Mar 13, 2021 8.10am
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT Marvel Stadium
  • Jake Brimmer 23' yellowcard
  • Jake Brimmer 28' goal
  • Aaron Anderson 47' yellowcard
  • Storm Roux 54' yellowcard
  • Leigh Broxham 68' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Javi Lopez 20'
  • goal Stefan Mauk 35'
  • goal Kusini Yengi 62'
  • goal Stefan Mauk 77'
Australian A-League Gameweek 2
Jan 23, 2021 8.40am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Mohamed Toure 53' goal
  • Noah Smith 63' yellowcard
  • Tomi Juric 79' yellowcard
  • Louis D'Arrigo 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jake Brimmer 34'
  • yellowcard Dylan Ryan 40'
  • yellowcard Adama Traore 47'
  • yellowcard Robbie Kruse 82'
  • yellowcard Leigh Broxham 83'