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Adelaide United
Australian A-League | Gameweek 6
Nov 11, 2022 at 8.45am UK
Coopers Stadium
Melbourne Victory

Adelaide United
3 - 0
Victory

Ibusuki (37'), Goodwin (86' pen.), Warland (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Adelaide United and Melbourne Victory.

Form, Standings, Stats

Adelaide United

All competitions
Last Game: Western Utd 2-4 Adelaide United
Sunday, November 6 at 6am in Australian A-League

Melbourne Victory

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last Game: Victory 4-0 Newcastle Jets
Friday, November 4 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 38.17%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 36.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.15%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-0 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
Adelaide UnitedDrawMelbourne Victory
36.46% (0.652 0.65)25.37% (0.065000000000001 0.07)38.17% (-0.72 -0.72)
Both teams to score 56.43% (-0.164 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.64% (-0.238 -0.24)47.35% (0.235 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.43% (-0.221 -0.22)69.57% (0.22 0.22)
Adelaide United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.66% (0.261 0.26)25.34% (-0.262 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.87% (0.35599999999999 0.36)60.13% (-0.357 -0.36)
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.59% (-0.48699999999999 -0.49)24.41% (0.484 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.17% (-0.691 -0.69)58.83% (0.689 0.69)
Score Analysis
    Adelaide United 36.46%
    Melbourne Victory 38.17%
    Draw 25.36%
Adelaide UnitedDrawMelbourne Victory
1-0 @ 8.49% (0.146 0.15)
2-1 @ 8.22% (0.087999999999999 0.09)
2-0 @ 5.83% (0.143 0.14)
3-1 @ 3.76% (0.068 0.07)
3-0 @ 2.67% (0.085 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.65% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.29% (0.033 0.03)
4-0 @ 0.92% (0.036 0.04)
4-2 @ 0.91% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 36.46%
1-1 @ 11.97% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 6.19% (0.061 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.8% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.36%
0-1 @ 8.72% (-0.037999999999998 -0.04)
1-2 @ 8.44% (-0.093 -0.09)
0-2 @ 6.15% (-0.115 -0.11)
1-3 @ 3.97% (-0.101 -0.1)
0-3 @ 2.89% (-0.096 -0.1)
2-3 @ 2.72% (-0.049 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.4% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-4 @ 1.02% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-4 @ 0.96% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 38.17%

How you voted: Adelaide United vs Victory

Adelaide United
42.9%
Draw
14.3%
Melbourne Victory
42.9%
7
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2022 9.45am
Adelaide United
0-1
Victory

Ibusuki (45+3'), Juande (61'), Lopez (66')
Rojas (7')
Spiranovic (27'), Margiotta (49'), Kelava (90+6')
Jan 8, 2022 8.45am
Victory
1-1
Adelaide United
D'Agostino (84')
Brooks (90+4')
Goodwin (90+1')
Timotheou (49'), Sanchez (79'), Juande (90')
Sanchez (90+2')
Dec 11, 2021 8.45am
Adelaide United
1-2
Victory
Tratt (70')
Yengi (26'), Sanchez (31'), Halloran (39'), Tratt (53')
Margiotta (59'), Velupillay (78')
Miranda (27'), Davidson (29'), Kruse (90+5')
Davidson (88')
May 23, 2021 9.10am
Victory
0-1
Adelaide United

Ryan (90+3')
Goodwin (39')
Juande (51'), Cavallo (58'), Halloran (74'), Lopez (90'), Goodwin (90+3')
Mar 13, 2021 8.10am
Victory
1-3
Adelaide United
Brimmer (28')
Brimmer (23'), Anderson (47'), Roux (54'), Broxham (68')
Mauk (35', 77'), Yengi (62')
Lopez (20')