Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 37.82%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 36.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
| 37.82% ( | 25.79% ( | 36.4% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.96% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.76% ( | 49.24% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.7% ( | 71.3% ( |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.54% ( | 25.47% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.7% ( | 60.3% ( |
| Melbourne Victory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.74% ( | 26.26% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.62% ( | 61.38% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
| 1-0 @ 9.15% ( 2-1 @ 8.37% ( 2-0 @ 6.26% ( 3-1 @ 3.81% ( 3-0 @ 2.85% ( 3-2 @ 2.55% ( 4-1 @ 1.3% ( 4-0 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 2.55% Total : 37.82% | 1-1 @ 12.23% ( 0-0 @ 6.69% ( 2-2 @ 5.59% ( 3-3 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.79% | 0-1 @ 8.94% ( 1-2 @ 8.18% ( 0-2 @ 5.98% ( 1-3 @ 3.64% ( 0-3 @ 2.66% ( 2-3 @ 2.49% ( 1-4 @ 1.22% ( Other @ 3.28% Total : 36.4% |