Australian A-League Gameweek 4
Oct 29, 2022 5.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Suncorp Stadium

Brisbane Roar vs Melbourne Victory - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Brisbane Roar

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Oct 22, 2022 7.00am
Western Sydney 1 - 1 Brisbane Roar
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Jay O'Shea

Melbourne Victory

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Oct 22, 2022 9.45am
Victory 0 - 2 Melbourne City
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Bruno Fornaroli

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 37.82%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 36.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result

Brisbane Roar 37.82% (+0.54)
Draw 25.79% (+0.01)
Melbourne Victory 36.4% (-0.55)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.96% (-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.76% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 49.24% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 28.7% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 71.3% (+0.07)

Brisbane Roar Goals

Over 0.5 74.54% (+0.27)
Under 0.5 25.47% (-0.27)
Over 1.5 39.7% (+0.37)
Under 1.5 60.3% (-0.36)

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5 73.74% (-0.34)
Under 0.5 26.26% (+0.35)
Over 1.5 38.62% (-0.46)
Under 1.5 61.38% (+0.46)

Score analysis

Brisbane Roar 37.82%
Draw 25.79%
Melbourne Victory 36.4%
Brisbane Roar
1-0 @ 9.15% (+0.10)
2-1 @ 8.37% (+0.07)
2-0 @ 6.26% (+0.12)
3-1 @ 3.81% (+0.07)
3-0 @ 2.85% (+0.08)
3-2 @ 2.55% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.3% (+0.04)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 37.82%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.23% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.69% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.59% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.79%
Melbourne Victory
0-1 @ 8.94% (-0.07)
1-2 @ 8.18% (-0.08)
0-2 @ 5.98% (-0.11)
1-3 @ 3.64% (-0.07)
0-3 @ 2.66% (-0.08)
2-3 @ 2.49% (-0.03)
1-4 @ 1.22% (-0.04)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 36.4%

Head to Head

Australian A-League Gameweek 16
Apr 25, 2022 5.05am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Alex Parsons 44' yellowcard
  • Rahmat Akbari 47' yellowcard
  • Alex Parsons 54' goal
  • Jay O'Shea 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Chris Ikonomidis 32'
  • goal Brendan Hamill 68'
  • yellowcard Joshua Brillante 84'
Australian A-League Gameweek 7
Apr 12, 2022 10.05am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Rai Marchan 44' yellowcard
  • Leigh Broxham 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nicholas Olsen 32'
  • yellowcard Jordan Holmes 87'
Australian A-League Gameweek 2
Nov 28, 2021 5.05am
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Joshua Brillante 15' yellowcard
  • Kai Trewin 28' goal
  • Nicholas D'Agostino 32' goal
  • Ben Folami 50' goal
  • Leigh Broxham 78' yellowcard
  • Jake Brimmer 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jay O'Shea 24'
  • yellowcard Corey Brown 83'
  • yellowcard Jesse Daley 90'
Australian A-League Gameweek 14
Feb 6, 2021 6.05am
5
2
HT : 4 2
FT
  • Dylan Wenzel-Halls 9' goal
  • Scott McDonald 14' goal
  • Riku Danzaki 17' goal
  • Scott McDonald 35' goal
  • Corey Brown 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Riku Danzaki 49' goal
  • Macaulay Gillesphey 83' yellowcard
  • goal Luis Lawrie-Lattanzio 19'
  • yellowcard Luis Lawrie-Lattanzio 33'
  • yellowcard Leigh Broxham 43'
  • goal Jake Brimmer 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Ryan Shotton 79'
  • yellowcard Birkan Kirdar 86'
Australian A-League Gameweek 3
Jan 2, 2021 8.10am
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT AAMI Park
  • Callum McManaman 24' goal
  • Callum McManaman 46' yellowcard
  • Adama Traore 54' yellowcard
  • Aaron Anderson 61' yellowcard
  • Storm Roux 81' yellowcard
  • goal Scott McDonald 16'
  • yellowcard Macaulay Gillesphey 45'+1'
  • goal Macaulay Gillesphey 60'
  • goal Dylan Wenzel-Halls 79'
Australian A-League Gameweek 24
Jul 29, 2020 10.30am
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jay Barnett 72' yellowcard
  • Andrew Nabbout 86' goal
  • yellowcard Jack Hingert 12'
  • goal Scott McDonald 56'
  • goal Matthew Ridenton 78'