Australian A-League | Gameweek 1

Oct 8, 2022 at 9.45am UK

Netstrata Jubilee Stadium

Sydney FC
2 - 3
Victory

Mak (15'), Donachie (79')

FT(HT: 1-1)

D'Agostino (31'), Ikonomidis (67'), Brillante (83')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Sydney FC and Melbourne Victory.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sydney FC

All competitions

Australian A-League

Last Game: Brisbane Roar 3-1 Sydney FC
Tuesday, May 10 at 10.05am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Melbourne Victory

All competitions

Australian A-League

Last Game: Victory 1-4 Man Utd
Friday, July 15 at 11.05am in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 39.06%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 36.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.02%) and 2-0 (5.99%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
Sydney FC	Draw	Melbourne Victory
39.06% ( 0.31)	24.64% ( 0.03)	36.29% ( -0.34)

Both teams to score 59.01% (

-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.97% (

-0.17)

44.03% (

0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.59% (

-0.17)

66.41% (

0.17)

Sydney FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.54% (

0.08)

22.46% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44% (

0.12)

56% (

-0.11)

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.1% (

-0.26)

23.9% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.89% (

-0.38)

58.11% (

0.38)

Score Analysis

Sydney FC 39.06%

Melbourne Victory 36.3%

Draw 24.64%

Sydney FC	Draw	Melbourne Victory
2-1 @ 8.57% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 8.02% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 4.27% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.05% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.98% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.59% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.35% Total : 39.06%	1-1 @ 11.47% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.13% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.37% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.64%	1-2 @ 8.21% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 7.68% 0-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.92% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.4% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.05% Total : 36.3%