Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 44.03%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 31.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.97%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Macarthur |
| 31.31% ( | 24.67% ( | 44.03% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.49% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.61% ( | 45.4% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.27% ( | 67.73% ( |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.49% ( | 27.51% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.99% ( | 63.01% ( |
| Macarthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.3% ( | 20.7% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.69% ( | 53.31% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Macarthur |
| 2-1 @ 7.47% ( 1-0 @ 7.35% ( 2-0 @ 4.74% ( 3-1 @ 3.21% ( 3-2 @ 2.53% ( 3-0 @ 2.04% ( 4-1 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 2.92% Total : 31.31% | 1-1 @ 11.57% ( 2-2 @ 5.88% ( 0-0 @ 5.7% ( 3-3 @ 1.33% ( Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.66% | 1-2 @ 9.12% ( 0-1 @ 8.97% ( 0-2 @ 7.06% ( 1-3 @ 4.79% ( 0-3 @ 3.71% ( 2-3 @ 3.09% ( 1-4 @ 1.88% ( 0-4 @ 1.46% ( 2-4 @ 1.22% ( Other @ 2.74% Total : 44.03% |