Australian A-League | Gameweek 2

Oct 15, 2022 at 9.45am UK

AAMI Park

Victory
0 - 1
Western Sydney

FT(HT: 0-1)

Mrcela (41')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Western Sydney Wanderers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne Victory

All competitions

Australian A-League

Last Game: Sydney FC 2-3 Victory
Saturday, October 8 at 9.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Western Sydney Wanderers

All competitions

Last Game: Western Sydney 1-0 Perth Glory
Sunday, October 9 at 5am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 38.3%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 37.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.43%) and 0-2 (5.64%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western Sydney Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Melbourne Victory	Draw	Western Sydney Wanderers
37.48% ( 0.48)	24.22% ( -0.08)	38.3% ( -0.39)

Both teams to score 60.65% (

0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.07% (

0.41)

41.93% (

-0.41)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.67% (

0.42)

64.33% (

-0.41)

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.67% (

0.43)

22.33% (

-0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.19% (

0.64)

55.81% (

-0.64)

Western Sydney Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.09% (

-0.01)

21.91% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.82% (

-0.02)

55.18% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Melbourne Victory 37.48%

Western Sydney Wanderers 38.3%

Draw 24.21%

Melbourne Victory	Draw	Western Sydney Wanderers
2-1 @ 8.35% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 7.34% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 5.5% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.17% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 3.17% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 2.75% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.43% Total : 37.48%	1-1 @ 11.13% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 6.34% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.89% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.21%	1-2 @ 8.45% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 7.43% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 5.64% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 4.28% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 3.21% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.62% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.52% Total : 38.3%