Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 48.84%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 27.35% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.09%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 5-4 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.
Result | ||
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
27.35% | 23.81% | 48.84% |
Both teams to score 57.84% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.22% | 43.78% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.83% | 66.17% |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.58% | 29.42% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.58% | 65.42% |
Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.95% | 18.05% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.05% | 48.95% |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
2-1 @ 6.8% 1-0 @ 6.5% 2-0 @ 3.97% 3-1 @ 2.78% 3-2 @ 2.38% 3-0 @ 1.62% Other @ 3.3% Total : 27.35% | 1-1 @ 11.12% 2-2 @ 5.83% 0-0 @ 5.31% 3-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.8% | 1-2 @ 9.52% 0-1 @ 9.09% 0-2 @ 7.78% 1-3 @ 5.43% 0-3 @ 4.44% 2-3 @ 3.32% 1-4 @ 2.33% 0-4 @ 1.9% 2-4 @ 1.42% Other @ 3.6% Total : 48.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 26 | 13 | 50 |
2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 44 | 26 | 18 | 49 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 26 | 10 | 12 | 4 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 42 |
4 | Macarthur | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 41 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 38 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 36 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 34 |
8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 30 |
9 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 48 | 48 | 0 | 29 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 36 | 54 | -18 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 45 | 62 | -17 | 22 |
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