Australian A-League | Gameweek 23

Apr 23, 2021 at 10.05am UK

Docklands Stadium

Victory
5 - 4
Western Sydney

Folami (14', 45+3'), Roux (28'), Ryan (63'), Butterfield (73')
McManaman (55'), Gestede (56'), Kruse (76'), Acton (90+6')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Troisi (31'), Dorrans (76' pen.), Duke (86'), Muller (88')
McGowan (45+2'), Ziegler (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Western Sydney Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 48.84%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 27.35% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.09%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 5-4 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.

Result
Melbourne Victory	Draw	Western Sydney Wanderers
27.35%	23.81%	48.84%

Both teams to score 57.84%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.22%

43.78%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.83%

66.17%

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.58%

29.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.58%

65.42%

Western Sydney Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.95%

18.05%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.05%

48.95%

Score Analysis

Melbourne Victory 27.35%

Western Sydney Wanderers 48.84%

Draw 23.8%

Melbourne Victory	Draw	Western Sydney Wanderers
2-1 @ 6.8% 1-0 @ 6.5% 2-0 @ 3.97% 3-1 @ 2.78% 3-2 @ 2.38% 3-0 @ 1.62% Other @ 3.3% Total : 27.35%	1-1 @ 11.12% 2-2 @ 5.83% 0-0 @ 5.31% 3-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.8%	1-2 @ 9.52% 0-1 @ 9.09% 0-2 @ 7.78% 1-3 @ 5.43% 0-3 @ 4.44% 2-3 @ 3.32% 1-4 @ 2.33% 0-4 @ 1.9% 2-4 @ 1.42% Other @ 3.6% Total : 48.84%