Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 47.85%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 29.07% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.73%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sydney FC | Draw | Adelaide United |
| 47.85% ( | 23.08% ( | 29.07% ( |
| Both teams to score 61.75% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.79% ( | 39.21% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.46% ( | 61.54% ( |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.31% ( | 16.68% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.44% ( | 46.56% ( |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.11% ( | 25.88% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.13% ( | 60.86% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sydney FC | Draw | Adelaide United |
| 2-1 @ 9.36% ( 1-0 @ 7.73% ( 2-0 @ 6.92% ( 3-1 @ 5.59% ( 3-0 @ 4.13% ( 3-2 @ 3.78% ( 4-1 @ 2.5% ( 4-0 @ 1.85% ( 4-2 @ 1.69% ( Other @ 4.3% Total : 47.85% | 1-1 @ 10.45% ( 2-2 @ 6.32% ( 0-0 @ 4.32% ( 3-3 @ 1.7% ( Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.08% | 1-2 @ 7.06% ( 0-1 @ 5.84% ( 0-2 @ 3.94% ( 1-3 @ 3.18% ( 2-3 @ 2.85% ( 0-3 @ 1.78% ( 1-4 @ 1.08% ( 2-4 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 2.38% Total : 29.07% |