Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 51.08%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 25.64% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.05%) and 0-2 (8.06%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Sydney FC |
| 25.64% ( | 23.28% ( | 51.08% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.09% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.26% ( | 42.74% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.86% ( | 65.14% ( |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.83% ( | 30.17% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.68% ( | 66.32% ( |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.19% ( | 16.82% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.21% ( | 46.79% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Sydney FC |
| 2-1 @ 6.49% ( 1-0 @ 6.08% ( 2-0 @ 3.64% ( 3-1 @ 2.59% ( 3-2 @ 2.31% ( 3-0 @ 1.46% ( Other @ 3.07% Total : 25.64% | 1-1 @ 10.83% ( 2-2 @ 5.79% ( 0-0 @ 5.07% ( 3-3 @ 1.37% ( Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.27% | 1-2 @ 9.66% ( 0-1 @ 9.05% ( 0-2 @ 8.06% ( 1-3 @ 5.74% ( 0-3 @ 4.79% ( 2-3 @ 3.44% ( 1-4 @ 2.56% ( 0-4 @ 2.14% ( 2-4 @ 1.53% ( 1-5 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 3.2% Total : 51.08% |