Australian A-League | Gameweek 8

Dec 18, 2022 at 6am UK

Campbelltown Stadium (Sydney)

Macarthur
1 - 0
Perth Glory

Arabuli (71')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Australian A-League clash between Macarthur and Perth Glory, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Macarthur

All competitions

Last Game: Macarthur 0-1 Victory
Sunday, December 11 at 6am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Perth Glory

All competitions

Last Game: Perth Glory 2-1 Western Utd
Saturday, December 10 at 11.30am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 50.21%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 25.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 0-1 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Macarthur in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Macarthur.

Result
Macarthur	Draw	Perth Glory
50.21% ( -0.94)	24.25% ( 0.39)	25.54% ( 0.56)

Both teams to score 54.73% (

-0.7)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.86% (

-1.19)

47.14% (

1.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.62% (

-1.12)

69.38% (

1.12)

Macarthur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.19% (

-0.82)

18.81% (

0.82)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.76% (

-1.39)

50.24% (

1.39)

Perth Glory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.4% (

-0.18)

32.6% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.86% (

-0.21)

69.14% (

0.21)

Score Analysis

Macarthur 50.2%

Perth Glory 25.54%

Draw 24.25%

Macarthur	Draw	Perth Glory
1-0 @ 10.24% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 8.56% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.34% ( -0.18) 3-0 @ 4.77% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 3% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 2.23% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.11) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.23% Total : 50.2%	1-1 @ 11.48% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 6.13% ( 0.3) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.25%	0-1 @ 6.87% ( 0.3) 1-2 @ 6.44% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 3.85% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.53% Total : 25.54%