Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 44.74%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 32.44% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.67%) and 2-0 (5.98%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Macarthur |
| 44.74% ( | 22.81% ( | 32.44% ( |
| Both teams to score 64.72% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.86% ( | 36.13% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.75% ( | 58.24% ( |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.33% ( | 16.67% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.46% ( | 46.54% ( |
| Macarthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.66% ( | 22.33% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.18% ( | 55.82% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Macarthur |
| 2-1 @ 8.96% ( 1-0 @ 6.67% ( 2-0 @ 5.98% ( 3-1 @ 5.35% ( 3-2 @ 4.01% ( 3-0 @ 3.57% ( 4-1 @ 2.4% ( 4-2 @ 1.8% ( 4-0 @ 1.6% ( Other @ 4.43% Total : 44.74% | 1-1 @ 10% ( 2-2 @ 6.71% ( 0-0 @ 3.72% ( 3-3 @ 2% ( Other @ 0.38% Total : 22.81% | 1-2 @ 7.5% ( 0-1 @ 5.58% ( 0-2 @ 4.18% ( 1-3 @ 3.75% ( 2-3 @ 3.36% ( 0-3 @ 2.09% ( 1-4 @ 1.4% ( 2-4 @ 1.26% ( Other @ 3.33% Total : 32.44% |