Australian A-League | Gameweek 3

Oct 21, 2022 at 9.45am UK

Whitten Oval

Western Utd
1 - 1
Macarthur

Wales (69')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Millar (24')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Western United and Macarthur.

Form, Standings, Stats

Western United

All competitions

Last Game: Western Utd 1-3 Sydney FC
Sunday, October 16 at 7am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Macarthur

All competitions

Last Game: Macarthur 2-0 Adelaide United
Sunday, October 16 at 5am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 45.47%. A win for Western United had a probability of 30.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.72%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Western United win was 2-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.

Result
Western United	Draw	Macarthur
30.31% ( 0.04)	24.22% ( 0)	45.47% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 58.51% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.18%

43.82% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.79% (

66.21% (

Western United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.62% (

0.03)

27.38% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.15% (

0.03)

62.85% (

-0.03)

Macarthur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.57% (

-0.02)

19.43% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.74% (

-0.03)

51.26% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Western United 30.31%

Macarthur 45.47%

Draw 24.22%

Western United	Draw	Macarthur
2-1 @ 7.31% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.89% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.46% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.16% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.59% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.93% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 2.95% Total : 30.31%	1-1 @ 11.29% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.32% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( 0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.22%	1-2 @ 9.25% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.72% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.14% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.05% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.9% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.27% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.07% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.6% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.34% ( -0) Other @ 3.14% Total : 45.47%