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Australian A-League | Gameweek 1
Oct 7, 2022 at 9.45am UK
AAMI Park
Western United

Melbourne City
2 - 1
Western Utd

Lacroix (38' og.), MacLaren (59')
Nabbout (30'), Bos (45+3'), O'Neill (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Milanovic (90+2')
Pain (30'), Troisi (42'), Risdon (75'), Lacroix (86')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Western United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Melbourne City 0-2 Western Utd
Saturday, May 28 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Melbourne City 0-2 Western Utd
Saturday, May 28 at 10.45am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 60.96%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Western United had a probability of 17.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.07%), while for a Western United win it was 0-1 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.

Result
Melbourne CityDrawWestern United
60.96% (4.919 4.92) 21.3% (-1.496 -1.5) 17.73% (-3.426 -3.43)
Both teams to score 53.18% (-0.962 -0.96)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.22% (1.602 1.6)43.78% (-1.604 -1.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.83% (1.547 1.55)66.17% (-1.552 -1.55)
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.11% (2.129 2.13)13.88% (-2.132 -2.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.7% (4.052 4.05)41.3% (-4.053 -4.05)
Western United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.75% (-2.712 -2.71)38.25% (2.709 2.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.99% (-2.703 -2.7)75.01% (2.7 2.7)
Score Analysis
    Melbourne City 60.95%
    Western United 17.73%
    Draw 21.3%
Melbourne CityDrawWestern United
1-0 @ 10.48% (0.06 0.06)
2-0 @ 10.35% (0.803 0.8)
2-1 @ 9.95% (0.071 0.07)
3-0 @ 6.81% (0.984 0.98)
3-1 @ 6.55% (0.517 0.52)
4-0 @ 3.36% (0.694 0.69)
4-1 @ 3.23% (0.471 0.47)
3-2 @ 3.15% (0.027 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.55% (0.125 0.13)
5-0 @ 1.33% (0.35 0.35)
5-1 @ 1.28% (0.264 0.26)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 60.95%
1-1 @ 10.07% (-0.71 -0.71)
0-0 @ 5.31% (-0.382 -0.38)
2-2 @ 4.78% (-0.329 -0.33)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 21.3%
0-1 @ 5.1% (-0.785 -0.79)
1-2 @ 4.84% (-0.737 -0.74)
0-2 @ 2.45% (-0.594 -0.59)
1-3 @ 1.55% (-0.373 -0.37)
2-3 @ 1.53% (-0.231 -0.23)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 17.73%

How you voted: Melbourne City vs Western Utd

Melbourne City
57.1%
Draw
0.0%
Western United
42.9%
7
Head to Head
May 28, 2022 10.45am
Mar 12, 2022 6.05am
Western Utd
2-2
Melbourne City
Lacroix (16'), Krhin (30')
Imai (35'), Prijovic (42'), Lacroix (76')
Metcalfe (42'), MacLaren (65')
Jan 29, 2022 8.45am
Dec 4, 2021 8.45am
Apr 1, 2021 7.35am
rhs 2.0
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