Australian A-League | Gameweek 1

Oct 7, 2022 at 9.45am UK

AAMI Park

Melbourne City
2 - 1
Western Utd

Lacroix (38' og.), MacLaren (59')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Milanovic (90+2')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Western United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne City

All competitions

Australian A-League

Last Game: Melbourne City 0-2 Western Utd
Saturday, May 28 at 10.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Western United

All competitions

Last Game: Melbourne City 0-2 Western Utd
Saturday, May 28 at 10.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 60.96%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Western United had a probability of 17.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.07%), while for a Western United win it was 0-1 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.

Result
Melbourne City	Draw	Western United
60.96% ( 4.92)	21.3% ( -1.5)	17.73% ( -3.43)

Both teams to score 53.18% (

-0.96)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.22% (

1.6)

43.78% (

-1.6)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.83% (

1.55)

66.17% (

-1.55)

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.11% (

2.13)

13.88% (

-2.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.7% (

4.05)

41.3% (

-4.05)

Western United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.75% (

-2.71)

38.25% (

2.71)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.99% (

-2.7)

75.01% (

2.7)

Score Analysis

Melbourne City 60.95%

Western United 17.73%

Draw 21.3%

Melbourne City	Draw	Western United
1-0 @ 10.48% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 10.35% ( 0.8) 2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 6.81% ( 0.98) 3-1 @ 6.55% ( 0.52) 4-0 @ 3.36% ( 0.69) 4-1 @ 3.23% ( 0.47) 3-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.55% ( 0.13) 5-0 @ 1.33% ( 0.35) 5-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.26) Other @ 2.92% Total : 60.95%	1-1 @ 10.07% ( -0.71) 0-0 @ 5.31% ( -0.38) 2-2 @ 4.78% ( -0.33) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.3%	0-1 @ 5.1% ( -0.79) 1-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.74) 0-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.59) 1-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.37) 2-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.23) Other @ 2.25% Total : 17.73%