Australian A-League | Gameweek 5

Nov 6, 2022 at 2am UK

Westpac Stadium

Wellington
4 - 1
Macarthur

Old (45+3'), Lewis (65'), Waine (67'), Kraev (75')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Rose (59')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Wellington Phoenix and Macarthur.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions

Last Game: Melbourne City 2-2 Wellington
Sunday, October 30 at 6am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Macarthur

All competitions

Last Game: Macarthur 2-3 Sydney FC
Saturday, October 29 at 9.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 40.8%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.08%) and 0-2 (6.24%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
Wellington Phoenix	Draw	Macarthur
34.72% ( 1.11)	24.47% ( 0.13)	40.8% ( -1.24)

Both teams to score 59.36% (

-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.54% (

-0.32)

43.46% (

0.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.14% (

-0.32)

65.85% (

0.31)

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.49% (

0.48)

24.51% (

-0.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.03% (

0.68)

58.97% (

-0.68)

Macarthur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.63% (

-0.71)

21.37% (

0.71)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.66% (

-1.11)

54.34% (

1.11)

Score Analysis

Wellington Phoenix 34.72%

Macarthur 40.8%

Draw 24.47%

Wellington Phoenix	Draw	Macarthur
2-1 @ 7.99% ( 0.16) 1-0 @ 7.36% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 5.18% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 3.75% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 2.89% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 2.43% ( 0.13) 4-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.8% Total : 34.72%	1-1 @ 11.36% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 6.17% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.47%	1-2 @ 8.77% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 8.08% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 6.24% ( -0.19) 1-3 @ 4.51% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 3.21% ( -0.17) 2-3 @ 3.17% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.74% ( -0.1) 0-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.09) 2-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.62% Total : 40.8%