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Adelaide United
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Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Western United
Wellington Phoenix
Australian A-League | Gameweek 5
Nov 6, 2022 at 2am UK
Westpac Stadium
Macarthur

Wellington
4 - 1
Macarthur

Old (45+3'), Lewis (65'), Waine (67'), Kraev (75')
Elliot (61'), Waine (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Rose (59')
Uskok (39'), Noone (45+1'), De Silva (90+5')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Wellington Phoenix and Macarthur.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Melbourne City 2-2 Wellington
Sunday, October 30 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Macarthur 2-3 Sydney FC
Saturday, October 29 at 9.45am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 40.8%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.08%) and 0-2 (6.24%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
Wellington PhoenixDrawMacarthur
34.72% (1.106 1.11) 24.47% (0.125 0.13) 40.8% (-1.237 -1.24)
Both teams to score 59.36% (-0.152 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.54% (-0.323 -0.32)43.46% (0.318 0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.14% (-0.317 -0.32)65.85% (0.312 0.31)
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.49% (0.485 0.48)24.51% (-0.489 -0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.03% (0.678 0.68)58.97% (-0.683 -0.68)
Macarthur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.63% (-0.71299999999999 -0.71)21.37% (0.708 0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.66% (-1.108 -1.11)54.34% (1.105 1.11)
Score Analysis
    Wellington Phoenix 34.72%
    Macarthur 40.8%
    Draw 24.47%
Wellington PhoenixDrawMacarthur
2-1 @ 7.99% (0.163 0.16)
1-0 @ 7.36% (0.204 0.2)
2-0 @ 5.18% (0.214 0.21)
3-1 @ 3.75% (0.128 0.13)
3-2 @ 2.89% (0.037 0.04)
3-0 @ 2.43% (0.133 0.13)
4-1 @ 1.32% (0.063 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.02% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 34.72%
1-1 @ 11.36% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 6.17% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.24% (0.073 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.49% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.47%
1-2 @ 8.77% (-0.134 -0.13)
0-1 @ 8.08% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06)
0-2 @ 6.24% (-0.185 -0.19)
1-3 @ 4.51% (-0.169 -0.17)
0-3 @ 3.21% (-0.168 -0.17)
2-3 @ 3.17% (-0.073 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.74% (-0.104 -0.1)
0-4 @ 1.24% (-0.093 -0.09)
2-4 @ 1.22% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 40.8%

Head to Head
Feb 6, 2022 5.05am
Wellington
3-1
Macarthur
Piscopo (12' pen.), Sotirio (71', 78')
Sutton (90+3')
Davila (58')
Rose (50'), Mutch (61'), Najjar (73')
Nov 21, 2021 7.45am
Macarthur
1-1
Wellington
Rose (61')
Uskok (41'), Rose (67')
Hooper (25' pen.)
Rufer (34'), Payne (84'), Ball (88')
Jun 4, 2021 10.05am
Macarthur
0-3
Wellington

M'Mombwa (36'), Martis (61'), Najjar (78'), Susnjar (90+6')
Puyo (58')
Ball (45+1'), Hemed (46'), Waine (90+2')
Lewis (62'), Rufer (80')
Mar 28, 2021 6.05am
Wellington
0-1
Macarthur

Hemed (45+1'), Devlin (61')
Genreau (65')
Jovanovic (48'), Martis (90+2')
Jan 9, 2021 6.05am
Macarthur
1-1
Wellington
Susaeta (67')
Meredith (29'), Milligan (38'), Genreau (86')
Ball (39')
DeVere (54'), Ball (74'), Devlin (83')
Rufer (62')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast27174649272255
2Wellington PhoenixWellington27158442261653
3Melbourne VictoryVictory271012543331042
4Sydney FCSydney FC271251052411141
5Macarthur2711884548-341
6Melbourne CityMelbourne City271161050381239
7Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney27114124448-437
8Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United2795135253-132
9Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar2786134255-1330
10Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets27610113947-828
11Western UnitedWestern Utd2775153655-1926
12Perth GloryPerth Glory2757154669-2322


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