MX23RW : Tuesday, April 30 21:52:14| >> :300:86500:86500:
Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Western United
Melbourne City
Australian A-League | Gameweek 4
Oct 30, 2022 at 6am UK
AAMI Park
Wellington Phoenix

Melbourne City
2 - 2
Wellington

MacLaren (16' pen.), Tilio (34')
Gomulka (40'), O'Neill (41'), Lam (63'), Talbot (77')
Lam (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Sutton (79'), Barbarouses (90')
Payne (15'), Pennington (50'), Elliot (83')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Wellington Phoenix.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne City

All competitions
Last Game: Victory 0-2 Melbourne City
Saturday, October 22 at 9.45am in Australian A-League

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 3-1 Wellington
Saturday, October 22 at 7am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 66.15%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 14.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 1-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.96%), while for a Wellington Phoenix win it was 1-2 (4.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
Melbourne CityDrawWellington Phoenix
66.15% (-1.359 -1.36) 19.12% (0.583 0.58) 14.74% (0.773 0.77)
Both teams to score 53.87% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.48% (-1.014 -1.01)39.52% (1.015 1.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.14% (-1.066 -1.07)61.86% (1.065 1.07)
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.88% (-0.634 -0.63)11.12% (0.632 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.45% (-1.409 -1.41)35.55% (1.408 1.41)
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.61% (0.43 0.43)39.39% (-0.432 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.91% (0.399 0.4)76.09% (-0.401 -0.4)
Score Analysis
    Melbourne City 66.14%
    Wellington Phoenix 14.74%
    Draw 19.12%
Melbourne CityDrawWellington Phoenix
2-0 @ 10.56% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.84% (0.067 0.07)
1-0 @ 9.62% (0.203 0.2)
3-0 @ 7.74% (-0.246 -0.25)
3-1 @ 7.21% (-0.142 -0.14)
4-0 @ 4.25% (-0.252 -0.25)
4-1 @ 3.96% (-0.186 -0.19)
3-2 @ 3.36% (-0.026 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.87% (-0.163 -0.16)
4-2 @ 1.84% (-0.064 -0.06)
5-1 @ 1.74% (-0.13 -0.13)
Other @ 4.16%
Total : 66.14%
1-1 @ 8.96% (0.293 0.29)
2-2 @ 4.59% (0.084 0.08)
0-0 @ 4.38% (0.204 0.2)
3-3 @ 1.04% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 19.12%
1-2 @ 4.18% (0.183 0.18)
0-1 @ 4.08% (0.235 0.24)
0-2 @ 1.9% (0.131 0.13)
2-3 @ 1.42% (0.043 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.3% (0.071 0.07)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 14.74%

Head to Head
May 9, 2022 10.05am
Melbourne City
2-1
Wellington
Sutton (3' og.), MacLaren (10')
Nabbout (30'), Tilio (54'), MacLaren (56'), Jenkinson (83')
Waine (54')
Piscopo (81'), Waine (90+2')
Apr 2, 2022 6.35am
Wellington
0-6
Melbourne City

Pennington (87'), Ball (90')
Surman (17' og.), Leckie (50'), Nabbout (59'), Good (68'), Tilio (76', 81')
May 16, 2021 7.05am
Melbourne City
2-2
Wellington
Tsubaki (58'), MacLaren (81')
O'Neill (90')
Hemed (37' pen., 88')
Lewis (79'), Hemed (89'), McGarry (90')
Apr 5, 2021 10.10am
Wellington
2-3
Melbourne City
Hemed (39'), Davila (56')
Fenton (58'), Laws (62'), Devlin (88')
Good (17'), MacLaren (45'), Tilio (83')
Berenguer (55')
Feb 15, 2020 6am
Wellington
1-0
Melbourne City
Ball (58')
Davila (43'), Hooper (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Result
Swiatek
Haddad Maia
4 6 6
6 0 2
Result
Keys
Jabeur
0 7 6
6 5 1
Result
Medvedev
Bublik
77 6
63 4
Result
Rublev
Griekspoor
6 6
2 4
Result
Hurkacz
Fritz
62 4
77 6
Result
Cerundolo
Zverev
6 6
3 4
Result
Sinner
Khachanov
5 6 6
7 3 3
Result
Struff
Alcaraz
3 77 64
6 65 77
Result
Auger-Aliassime
Ruud
6 7
4 5
8.30pm
Nadal
Lehecka
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wellington PhoenixWellington27158442261653
2Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast26164647272052
3Melbourne VictoryVictory271012543331042
4Sydney FCSydney FC271251052411141
5Macarthur2711884548-341
6Melbourne CityMelbourne City271161050381239
7Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney27114124448-437
8Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United2695125251132
9Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar2786134255-1330
10Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets27610113947-828
11Western UnitedWestern Utd2775153655-1926
12Perth GloryPerth Glory2757154669-2322
> Australian A-League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!