Australian A-League | Gameweek 4

Oct 30, 2022 at 6am UK

AAMI Park

Melbourne City
2 - 2
Wellington

MacLaren (16' pen.), Tilio (34')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Sutton (79'), Barbarouses (90')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Wellington Phoenix.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne City

All competitions

Last Game: Victory 0-2 Melbourne City
Saturday, October 22 at 9.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions

Last Game: Newcastle Jets 3-1 Wellington
Saturday, October 22 at 7am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 66.15%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 14.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 1-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.96%), while for a Wellington Phoenix win it was 1-2 (4.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
Melbourne City	Draw	Wellington Phoenix
66.15% ( -1.36)	19.12% ( 0.58)	14.74% ( 0.77)

Both teams to score 53.87% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.48% (

-1.01)

39.52% (

1.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.14% (

-1.07)

61.86% (

1.07)

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.88% (

-0.63)

11.12% (

0.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.45% (

-1.41)

35.55% (

1.41)

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.61% (

0.43)

39.39% (

-0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.91% (

0.4)

76.09% (

-0.4)

Score Analysis

Melbourne City 66.14%

Wellington Phoenix 14.74%

Draw 19.12%

Melbourne City	Draw	Wellington Phoenix
2-0 @ 10.56% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 9.62% ( 0.2) 3-0 @ 7.74% ( -0.25) 3-1 @ 7.21% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 4.25% ( -0.25) 4-1 @ 3.96% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.87% ( -0.16) 4-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 1.74% ( -0.13) Other @ 4.16% Total : 66.14%	1-1 @ 8.96% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 4.59% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 4.38% ( 0.2) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 19.12%	1-2 @ 4.18% ( 0.18) 0-1 @ 4.08% ( 0.24) 0-2 @ 1.9% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.07) Other @ 1.86% Total : 14.74%