Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 53.37%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 23.85% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (6.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle Jets would win this match.