Australian A-League | Gameweek 2

Oct 15, 2022 at 7am UK

McDonald Jones Stadium

Newcastle Jets
2 - 1
Perth Glory

Elsey (59'), Mikeltadze (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

McEneff (73' pen.)

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Newcastle Jets and Perth Glory.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle Jets

All competitions

Last Game: Central Coast 2-0 Newcastle Jets
Saturday, May 7 at 10.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Perth Glory

All competitions

Last Game: Western Sydney 1-0 Perth Glory
Sunday, October 9 at 5am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 64.76%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Perth Glory had a probability of 15.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.8%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a Perth Glory win it was 0-1 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle Jets would win this match.

Result
Newcastle Jets	Draw	Perth Glory
64.76% ( 2.06)	20.14% ( -0.85)	15.1% ( -1.21)

Both teams to score 51.25% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.58% (

1.46)

43.42% (

-1.46)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.18% (

1.42)

65.81% (

-1.42)

Newcastle Jets Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.35% (

1.06)

12.65% (

-1.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.2% (

2.15)

38.8% (

-2.15)

Perth Glory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.67% (

-0.69)

41.32% (

0.69)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.15% (

-0.62)

77.84% (

0.62)

Score Analysis

Newcastle Jets 64.75%

Perth Glory 15.1%

Draw 20.14%

Newcastle Jets	Draw	Perth Glory
2-0 @ 11.17% ( 0.18) 1-0 @ 10.8% ( -0.26) 2-1 @ 9.87% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 7.7% ( 0.42) 3-1 @ 6.81% ( 0.24) 4-0 @ 3.98% ( 0.36) 4-1 @ 3.52% ( 0.26) 3-2 @ 3.01% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.21) 4-2 @ 1.55% ( 0.09) 5-1 @ 1.46% ( 0.16) Other @ 3.24% Total : 64.75%	1-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.42) 0-0 @ 5.23% ( -0.34) 2-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.99% Total : 20.14%	0-1 @ 4.62% ( -0.4) 1-2 @ 4.22% ( -0.27) 0-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.22) 2-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.1) Other @ 1.69% Total : 15.1%