Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 40.47%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 33.56% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 1-0 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Perth Glory | Draw | Western United |
| 33.56% ( | 25.97% ( | 40.47% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.9% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.59% ( | 50.41% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.66% ( | 72.34% ( |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.47% ( | 28.53% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.69% ( | 64.31% ( |
| Western United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.42% ( | 24.58% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.93% ( | 59.07% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Perth Glory | Draw | Western United |
| 1-0 @ 8.8% ( 2-1 @ 7.74% ( 2-0 @ 5.52% ( 3-1 @ 3.24% ( 3-0 @ 2.31% ( 3-2 @ 2.27% ( 4-1 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 2.68% Total : 33.56% | 1-1 @ 12.34% ( 0-0 @ 7.01% ( 2-2 @ 5.43% ( 3-3 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.97% | 0-1 @ 9.84% ( 1-2 @ 8.66% ( 0-2 @ 6.9% ( 1-3 @ 4.05% ( 0-3 @ 3.23% ( 2-3 @ 2.54% ( 1-4 @ 1.42% ( 0-4 @ 1.13% ( Other @ 2.69% Total : 40.47% |