Australian A-League | Gameweek 7

Dec 11, 2022 at 6am UK

Campbelltown Stadium (Sydney)

Macarthur
0 - 1
Victory

FT(HT: 0-0)

Folami (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Australian A-League clash between Macarthur and Melbourne Victory, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Macarthur

All competitions

Last Game: Central Coast 2-3 Macarthur
Sunday, November 13 at 4am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Melbourne Victory

All competitions

Last Game: Adelaide United 3-0 Victory
Friday, November 11 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 51.38%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 25.78% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.46%) and 0-2 (7.77%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 2-1 (6.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne Victory would win this match.

Result
Macarthur	Draw	Melbourne Victory
25.78% ( -0.73)	22.83% ( -0.12)	51.38% ( 0.85)

Both teams to score 59.77% (

-0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.42% (

-0.06)

40.57% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.04% (

-0.07)

62.95% (

0.07)

Macarthur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.09% (

-0.58)

28.91% (

0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.21% (

-0.72)

64.79% (

0.72)

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.08% (

0.28)

15.91% (

-0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.84% (

0.51)

45.16% (

-0.51)

Score Analysis

Macarthur 25.78%

Melbourne Victory 51.38%

Draw 22.83%

Macarthur	Draw	Melbourne Victory
2-1 @ 6.51% ( -0.13) 1-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 3.54% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 2.69% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.39% Total : 25.78%	1-1 @ 10.49% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 4.6% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.83%	1-2 @ 9.64% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 8.46% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 7.77% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 5.91% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 4.76% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 3.67% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.72% ( 0.07) 0-4 @ 2.19% ( 0.09) 2-4 @ 1.69% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.59% Total : 51.38%