Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Perth Glory
Australian A-League | Gameweek 9
Dec 23, 2022 at 11.30am UK
nib Stadium
Wellington Phoenix

Perth Glory
1 - 1
Wellington

Williams (22')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Zawada (31')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Australian A-League clash between Perth Glory and Wellington Phoenix, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Perth Glory

All competitions
Last Game: Macarthur 1-0 Perth Glory
Sunday, December 18 at 6am in Australian A-League

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions
Last Game: Wellington 3-1 Adelaide United
Saturday, December 17 at 2am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 42.42%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 32% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.91%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 1-0 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
Perth GloryDrawWellington Phoenix
32% (-0.504 -0.5)25.57% (-0.228 -0.23)42.42% (0.729 0.73)
Both teams to score 54.73% (0.561 0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.88% (0.814 0.81)49.11% (-0.817 -0.82)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.81% (0.731 0.73)71.19% (-0.73399999999999 -0.73)
Perth Glory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.1% (0.070999999999998 0.07)28.89% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.23% (0.091999999999999 0.09)64.77% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.97% (0.71299999999999 0.71)23.03% (-0.715 -0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.15% (1.038 1.04)56.84% (-1.04 -1.04)
Score Analysis
    Perth Glory 32%
    Wellington Phoenix 42.42%
    Draw 25.57%
Perth GloryDrawWellington Phoenix
1-0 @ 8.26% (-0.261 -0.26)
2-1 @ 7.53% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-0 @ 5.13% (-0.151 -0.15)
3-1 @ 3.12% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.29% (0.034 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.12% (-0.058 -0.06)
4-1 @ 0.97% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 32%
1-1 @ 12.13% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-0 @ 6.65% (-0.225 -0.23)
2-2 @ 5.53% (0.072 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.12% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.57%
0-1 @ 9.77% (-0.12 -0.12)
1-2 @ 8.91% (0.097 0.1)
0-2 @ 7.17% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
1-3 @ 4.36% (0.137 0.14)
0-3 @ 3.51% (0.104 0.1)
2-3 @ 2.71% (0.091 0.09)
1-4 @ 1.6% (0.083 0.08)
0-4 @ 1.29% (0.064 0.06)
2-4 @ 0.99% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 42.42%

How you voted: Perth Glory vs Wellington

Perth Glory
24.3%
Draw
2.7%
Wellington Phoenix
73.0%
37
Head to Head
Apr 13, 2022 10.05am
Perth Glory
0-1
Wellington

Clisby (56')
Sandoval (48')
Pennington (58')
Mar 26, 2022 6.05am
Wellington
2-1
Perth Glory
Waine (37'), Pennington (90+7')
Fenton (89')
Fitzgerald (49')
Malik (47'), Timmins (64')
Malik (53')
May 30, 2021 4.35am
Wellington
2-2
Perth Glory
Hemed (25'), Sotirio (80')
Fenton (78'), Devlin (90+5')
Fornaroli (61'), Timmins (74')
Lachman (52'), Timmins (65'), Aspropotamitis (82'), Fornaroli (89'), Castro (90+1')
Apr 18, 2021 11.15am
Perth Glory
1-3
Wellington
Chianese (58')
Kato Geria (77')
Waine (56'), Fenton (66'), Sotirio (75')
Taylor (57'), Lewis (82')
Mar 7, 2021 5.05am
Wellington
3-0
Perth Glory
Piscopo (30'), Ball (35'), Waine (59')

Castro (37'), Stynes (54')