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Wellington Phoenix
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Wellington Phoenix
Australian A-League | Gameweek 7
Dec 10, 2022 at 6am UK
Westpac Stadium
Western Sydney Wanderers

Wellington
1 - 1
Western Sydney

Kraev (61')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ngbakoto (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Wellington Phoenix and Western Sydney Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions
Last Game: Wellington 2-3 Western Utd
Sunday, November 13 at 2am in Australian A-League

Western Sydney Wanderers

All competitions
Last Game: Sydney FC 0-1 Western Sydney
Saturday, November 12 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 39.61%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 36.45% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.26%) and 2-0 (5.72%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Wellington PhoenixDrawWestern Sydney Wanderers
39.61% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)23.93% (0.048999999999999 0.05)36.45% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Both teams to score 61.65% (-0.184 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.39% (-0.23699999999999 -0.24)40.6% (0.239 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.01% (-0.244 -0.24)62.99% (0.245 0.24)
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.3% (-0.11999999999999 -0.12)20.7% (0.121 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.7% (-0.192 -0.19)53.3% (0.193 0.19)
Western Sydney Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.74% (-0.111 -0.11)22.26% (0.112 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.29% (-0.166 -0.17)55.7% (0.16800000000001 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Wellington Phoenix 39.61%
    Western Sydney Wanderers 36.45%
    Draw 23.93%
Wellington PhoenixDrawWestern Sydney Wanderers
2-1 @ 8.59% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 7.26% (0.052 0.05)
2-0 @ 5.72% (0.02 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.51% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.39% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.78% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.33% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.18% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 39.61%
1-1 @ 10.9% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 6.45% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.61% (0.05 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.7% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.93%
1-2 @ 8.19% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-1 @ 6.92% (0.052 0.05)
0-2 @ 5.2% (0.022 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.1% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.23% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.54% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.21% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.98% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 36.45%

How you voted: Wellington vs Western Sydney

Wellington Phoenix
26.7%
Draw
40.0%
Western Sydney Wanderers
33.3%
15
Head to Head
May 5, 2022 10.05am
Western Sydney
1-2
Wellington
Hemed (29')
Baccus (24'), Troisi (42')
Sutton (3'), Piscopo (65')
Pennington (11'), Sail (89')
Apr 24, 2022 4.05am
Wellington
1-0
Western Sydney
Waine (22')
Pennington (38'), Sotirio (66')

Baccus (13'), Najjarine (45+1'), Hemed (77')
Dec 3, 2021 8.45am
Wellington
0-2
Western Sydney

Hooper (68'), Rufer (77'), Ball (86')
Hemed (66'), Koutroumbis (90+3')
Aquilina (17'), Traore (64')
May 26, 2021 10.05am
Western Sydney
1-2
Wellington
Baccus (28')
Dorrans (50'), Gordon (63')
Ball (24'), Hemed (42')
Fenton (33'), Sutton (36'), Ball (44'), Lewis (90+5')
Mar 15, 2021 8.05am
Western Sydney
4-3
Wellington
Wilmering (23'), Mutch (52'), Duke (65'), Yeboah (84')
Troisi (17'), Gordon (59'), McGowan (63')
Davila (7'), Devlin (32'), Hemed (64' pen.)
Talay (68'), Piscopo (73'), Lewis (77'), Davila (87')