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Western Sydney Wanderers
Australian A-League | Gameweek 4
Oct 28, 2022 at 9.45am UK
Spotless Stadium
Newcastle Jets

Western Sydney
2 - 0
Newcastle Jets

Amalfitano (44'), Borrello (51')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Western Sydney Wanderers and Newcastle Jets.

Form, Standings, Stats

Western Sydney Wanderers

All competitions
Last Game: Western Sydney 1-1 Brisbane Roar
Saturday, October 22 at 7am in Australian A-League

Newcastle Jets

All competitions
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 3-1 Wellington
Saturday, October 22 at 7am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 49.43%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 26.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 0-1 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western Sydney Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Western Sydney WanderersDrawNewcastle Jets
49.43% (0.013000000000005 0.01)24.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)26.32% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 55.45% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.48% (0.012999999999998 0.01)46.52% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.2% (0.012 0.01)68.79% (-0.012 -0.01)
Western Sydney Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.12% (0.012 0.01)18.88% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.65% (0.018000000000001 0.02)50.35% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Newcastle Jets Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.35% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)31.64% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.94% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)68.05% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Western Sydney Wanderers 49.43%
    Newcastle Jets 26.32%
    Draw 24.24%
Western Sydney WanderersDrawNewcastle Jets
1-0 @ 9.96% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-1 @ 9.55% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.3% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 5.31% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 4.61% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-2 @ 3.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.21% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-0 @ 1.92% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.27% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 49.43%
1-1 @ 11.45% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.97% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 5.5% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.24%
0-1 @ 6.87% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 6.59% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 3.95% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
1-3 @ 2.53%
2-3 @ 2.11%
0-3 @ 1.52% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 26.32%

Head to Head
Apr 20, 2022 10.05am
Western Sydney
3-2
Newcastle Jets
Ugarkovic (6'), Rodwell (18'), Najjarine (21')
Russell (45'), Ugarkovic (47'), Rodwell (51')
Hoffman (67'), Silvera (75')
Wilson (11'), Mikeltadze (35'), Hoffman (44'), Thurgate (85')
Feb 23, 2022 8.55am
Newcastle Jets
1-0
Western Sydney
Thurgate (61')
Boumal (70'), Jurman (78'), Silvera (85')

Ugarkovic (12'), Baccus (24'), Traore (39'), Cancar (88')
Nov 28, 2021 7.15am
Western Sydney
2-2
Newcastle Jets
Ibini-Isei (42'), Hemed (49')
Williams (25'), Rodwell (74')
Mikeltadze (19' pen.), Boumal (53')
Jan 29, 2021 8.05am
Western Sydney
1-1
Newcastle Jets
Ibini-Isei (36')
Russell (40'), Dorrans (90+2'), Baccus (90+3'), Natta (90+6')
O'Donovan (81' pen.)
Mauragis (90')
Jan 8, 2021 8.10am
Newcastle Jets
1-2
Western Sydney
Boogaard (73')
O'Donovan (34'), Petratos (60')
Gordon (7'), Russell (57')
Troisi (68'), Dorrans (72'), Ibini-Isei (90')