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Newcastle Jets
Australian A-League | Gameweek 8
Dec 16, 2022 at 8.45am UK
McDonald Jones Stadium
Brisbane Roar

Newcastle Jets
0 - 1
Brisbane Roar

FT(HT: 0-0)
Mileusnic (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Australian A-League clash between Newcastle Jets and Brisbane Roar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle Jets

All competitions
Last Game: Central Coast 1-2 Newcastle Jets
Sunday, December 11 at 4am in Australian A-League

Brisbane Roar

All competitions
Last Game: Brisbane Roar 1-1 Adelaide United
Friday, December 9 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 38.98%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 36.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.06%) and 0-2 (5.99%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brisbane Roar would win this match.

Result
Newcastle JetsDrawBrisbane Roar
36.33% (0.269 0.27)24.69% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)38.98% (-0.225 -0.23)
Both teams to score 58.85% (0.193 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.77% (0.239 0.24)44.23% (-0.239 -0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.39% (0.231 0.23)66.6% (-0.23399999999999 -0.23)
Newcastle Jets Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.03% (0.256 0.26)23.97% (-0.258 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.79% (0.365 0.37)58.21% (-0.366 -0.37)
Brisbane Roar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.41% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)22.59% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.8% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)56.2% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle Jets 36.33%
    Brisbane Roar 38.98%
    Draw 24.68%
Newcastle JetsDrawBrisbane Roar
2-1 @ 8.22% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
1-0 @ 7.74% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.52% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.91% (0.046 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.91% (0.034 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.63% (0.032 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.4% (0.027 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.02 0.02)
4-0 @ 0.94% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 36.33%
1-1 @ 11.5% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6.11% (0.026 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.42% (-0.057 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.44% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.68%
1-2 @ 8.56% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-1 @ 8.06% (-0.086 -0.09)
0-2 @ 5.99% (-0.065 -0.07)
1-3 @ 4.24% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.03% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.97% (-0.033 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.58% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.13% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 1.11% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 38.98%

How you voted: Newcastle Jets vs Brisbane Roar

Newcastle Jets
50.0%
Draw
29.5%
Brisbane Roar
20.5%
44
Head to Head
Apr 3, 2022 7.05am
Brisbane Roar
2-0
Newcastle Jets
Hore (83'), Ivanovic (90+3')
O'Shea (8'), Hore (21'), Akbari (59'), Daley (66'), Aldred (89')

Murnane (25'), Siatravanis (41'), Mauragis (67'), Jurman (72')
Mauragis (80')
Feb 3, 2022 8.45am
Newcastle Jets
2-1
Brisbane Roar
Freke (22' og.), Thurgate (70')
Hoffman (33'), Elsey (79'), Duncan (85')
Lescano (64')
Daley (45'), Brown (68'), Hingert (72'), Trewin (90+3')
May 21, 2021 10.05am
Newcastle Jets
1-2
Brisbane Roar
O'Shea (61' og.)
Hoffman (42'), Boogaard (54')
Danzaki (34'), O'Shea (73')
Gillesphey (21'), Neville (82')
Feb 14, 2021 7.10am
Brisbane Roar
0-0
Newcastle Jets

Daley (65'), Aldred (75')

Prso (57'), O'Donovan (81')
Jan 20, 2021 8.05am
Newcastle Jets
1-2
Brisbane Roar
Yuel (38')
O'Donovan (2'), Boogaard (59')
Danzaki (6'), Wenzel-Halls (61')