Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 38.98%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 36.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.06%) and 0-2 (5.99%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brisbane Roar would win this match.