Australian A-League Gameweek 8
Dec 16, 2022 8.45am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT McDonald Jones Stadium
  • goal Nikola Mileusnic 80'

Newcastle Jets vs Brisbane Roar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle Jets

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Dec 11, 2022 4.00am
Central Coast 1 - 2 Newcastle Jets
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Beka Mikeltadze

Brisbane Roar

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Dec 9, 2022 8.45am
Brisbane Roar 1 - 1 Adelaide United
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Jay O'Shea

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 38.98%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 36.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.06%) and 0-2 (5.99%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brisbane Roar would win this match.

Result

Newcastle Jets 36.33% (+0.27)
Draw 24.69% (-0.05)
Brisbane Roar 38.98% (-0.23)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.85% (+0.20)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.77% (+0.24)
Under 2.5 44.23% (-0.24)
Over 3.5 33.39% (+0.24)
Under 3.5 66.6% (-0.24)

Newcastle Jets Goals

Over 0.5 76.03% (+0.26)
Under 0.5 23.97% (-0.26)
Over 1.5 41.79% (+0.37)
Under 1.5 58.21% (-0.37)

Brisbane Roar Goals

Over 0.5 77.41% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 22.59% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 43.8% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 56.2% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Newcastle Jets 36.33%
Draw 24.68%
Brisbane Roar 38.98%
Newcastle Jets
2-1 @ 8.22% (+0.04)
1-0 @ 7.74% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 5.52% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 3.91% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.91% (+0.04)
3-0 @ 2.63% (+0.04)
4-1 @ 1.4% (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.04% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 36.33%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.5% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 6.11% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 5.42% (-0.06)
3-3 @ 1.44% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.68%
Brisbane Roar
1-2 @ 8.56% (-0.03)
0-1 @ 8.06% (-0.09)
0-2 @ 5.99% (-0.07)
1-3 @ 4.24% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 3.03% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.97% (-0.04)
1-4 @ 1.58% (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.13% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.11% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 38.98%

Head to Head

Australian A-League Gameweek 21
Apr 3, 2022 7.05am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jay O'Shea 8' yellowcard
  • Henry Hore 21' yellowcard
  • Rahmat Akbari 59' yellowcard
  • Jesse Daley 66' yellowcard
  • Henry Hore 83' goal
  • Tom Aldred 89' yellowcard
  • Luke Ivanovic 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Dylan Murnane 25'
  • yellowcard Savvas Siatravanis 41'
  • yellowcard Lucas Mauragis 67'
  • yellowcard Matthew Jurman 72'
  • redcard Lucas Mauragis 80'
Australian A-League Gameweek 13
Feb 3, 2022 8.45am
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Macklin Freke 22' goal
  • Jason Hoffman 33' yellowcard
  • Angus Thurgate 70' goal
  • Jordan Elsey 79' yellowcard
  • Jack Duncan 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jesse Daley 45'
  • goal Juan Lescano 64'
  • yellowcard Corey Brown 68'
  • yellowcard Jack Hingert 72'
  • yellowcard Kai Trewin 90'+3'
Australian A-League Gameweek 15
May 21, 2021 10.05am
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Jason Hoffman 42' yellowcard
  • Nigel Boogaard 54' yellowcard
  • Jay O'Shea 61' goal
  • yellowcard Macaulay Gillesphey 21'
  • goal Riku Danzaki 34'
  • goal Jay O'Shea 73'
  • yellowcard Scott Neville 82'
Australian A-League Gameweek 20
Feb 14, 2021 7.10am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jesse Daley 65' yellowcard
  • Tom Aldred 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luka Prso 57'
  • yellowcard Roy O'Donovan 81'
Australian A-League Gameweek 7
Jan 20, 2021 8.05am
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Roy O'Donovan 2' yellowcard
  • Valentino Yuel 38' goal
  • Nigel Boogaard 59' yellowcard
  • goal Riku Danzaki 6'
  • goal Dylan Wenzel-Halls 61'
Australian A-League Gameweek 27
Mar 20, 2020 8.30am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Scott McDonald 16' goal
  • Aiden O'Neill 67' yellowcard
  • Scott Neville 71' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nikolai Topor-Stanley 44'
  • yellowcard Angus Thurgate 48'