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Newcastle Jets
Australian A-League | Gameweek 6
Nov 12, 2022 at 6am UK
McDonald Jones Stadium
Melbourne City

Newcastle Jets
1 - 2
Melbourne City

Jamieson (38' og.)
FT(HT: 1-1)
van der Venne (20'), MacLaren (57')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Newcastle Jets and Melbourne City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle Jets

All competitions
Last Game: Victory 4-0 Newcastle Jets
Friday, November 4 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Melbourne City

All competitions
Last Game: Melbourne City 4-0 Perth Glory
Saturday, November 5 at 6am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 56.3%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 21.85% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.84%) and 0-2 (8.65%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 (5.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Melbourne City in this match.

Result
Newcastle JetsDrawMelbourne City
21.85% (1.634 1.63)21.84% (0.353 0.35)56.3% (-1.988 -1.99)
Both teams to score 58.41% (1.314 1.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.79% (0.561 0.56)40.2% (-0.564 -0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.42% (0.577 0.58)62.57% (-0.579 -0.58)
Newcastle Jets Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.04% (1.862 1.86)31.96% (-1.863 -1.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.58% (2.072 2.07)68.41% (-2.074 -2.07)
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.84% (-0.43300000000001 -0.43)14.15% (0.431 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.17% (-0.85100000000001 -0.85)41.82% (0.85 0.85)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle Jets 21.85%
    Melbourne City 56.3%
    Draw 21.83%
Newcastle JetsDrawMelbourne City
2-1 @ 5.75% (0.338 0.34)
1-0 @ 5.16% (0.128 0.13)
2-0 @ 2.94% (0.216 0.22)
3-1 @ 2.19% (0.231 0.23)
3-2 @ 2.14% (0.196 0.2)
3-0 @ 1.12% (0.134 0.13)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 21.85%
1-1 @ 10.08% (0.087 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.63% (0.246 0.25)
0-0 @ 4.52% (-0.118 -0.12)
3-3 @ 1.39% (0.107 0.11)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 21.83%
1-2 @ 9.86% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-1 @ 8.84% (-0.375 -0.38)
0-2 @ 8.65% (-0.509 -0.51)
1-3 @ 6.43% (-0.142 -0.14)
0-3 @ 5.64% (-0.426 -0.43)
2-3 @ 3.67% (0.105 0.11)
1-4 @ 3.14% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-4 @ 2.76% (-0.254 -0.25)
2-4 @ 1.79% (0.024 0.02)
1-5 @ 1.23% (-0.067 -0.07)
0-5 @ 1.08% (-0.118 -0.12)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 56.3%

Head to Head
Feb 18, 2022 8.45am
Melbourne City
3-0
Newcastle Jets
MacLaren (45+2'), Leckie (52'), Jenkinson (64')
Nabbout (23'), Metcalfe (73')

Hoffman (23'), Regan (42')
Regan (54')
Feb 8, 2022 9.05am
Newcastle Jets
2-4
Melbourne City
Mikeltadze (59' pen.), Thurgate (84')
O'Doherty (39'), Siatravanis (89')
Berenguer (40'), MacLaren (52', 66'), Leckie (56')
MacLaren (21'), Nabbout (42'), Glover (77'), O'Neill (90+4')
Jun 10, 2021 10.05am
Melbourne City
1-2
Newcastle Jets
Colakovski (9')
O'Neill (37'), Mills (88')
Goodwin (23'), Stamatelopoulos (89')
O'Doherty (13')
Apr 29, 2021 10.05am
Melbourne City
3-1
Newcastle Jets
Koutroumbis (32' og.), Jamieson (59'), MacLaren (69')
Ugarkovic (87')
Feb 7, 2021 5.05am
Newcastle Jets
1-0
Melbourne City
Yuel (40')
Boogaard (86')

Jamieson (38'), Garuccio (81')