Australian A-League Gameweek 11
Jan 6, 2023 8.45am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT AAMI Park
  • goal Jay O'Shea 73'

Melbourne Victory vs Brisbane Roar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne Victory

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Dec 31, 2022 8.00am
Central Coast 2 - 1 Victory
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Bruno Fornaroli

Brisbane Roar

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Dec 30, 2022 8.45am
Western Utd 1 - 1 Brisbane Roar
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Jay O'Shea

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 39.15%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 35.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 0-1 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result

Melbourne Victory 39.15% (+0.11)
Draw 25.63% (-0.01)
Brisbane Roar 35.22% (-0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.38% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.35% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 48.65%
Over 3.5 29.23% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 70.76% (+0.01)

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5 75.52% (+0.06)
Under 0.5 24.47% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 41.07% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 58.92% (-0.08)

Brisbane Roar Goals

Over 0.5 73.33% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 26.66% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 38.08% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 61.91% (+0.08)

Score analysis

Melbourne Victory 39.15%
Draw 25.63%
Brisbane Roar 35.22%
Melbourne Victory
1-0 @ 9.19% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 8.55% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 6.47% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.01% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.03% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.65% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.41% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.07% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 39.15%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.14%
0-0 @ 6.53%
2-2 @ 5.65% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.63%
Brisbane Roar
0-1 @ 8.63% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 8.03% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 5.7% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.54% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.51% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.49% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.17% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 35.22%

Head to Head

Australian A-League Gameweek 4
Oct 29, 2022 5.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Suncorp Stadium
Australian A-League Gameweek 16
Apr 25, 2022 5.05am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Alex Parsons 44' yellowcard
  • Rahmat Akbari 47' yellowcard
  • Alex Parsons 54' goal
  • Jay O'Shea 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Chris Ikonomidis 32'
  • goal Brendan Hamill 68'
  • yellowcard Joshua Brillante 84'
Australian A-League Gameweek 7
Apr 12, 2022 10.05am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Rai Marchan 44' yellowcard
  • Leigh Broxham 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nicholas Olsen 32'
  • yellowcard Jordan Holmes 87'
Australian A-League Gameweek 2
Nov 28, 2021 5.05am
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Joshua Brillante 15' yellowcard
  • Kai Trewin 28' goal
  • Nicholas D'Agostino 32' goal
  • Ben Folami 50' goal
  • Leigh Broxham 78' yellowcard
  • Jake Brimmer 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jay O'Shea 24'
  • yellowcard Corey Brown 83'
  • yellowcard Jesse Daley 90'
Australian A-League Gameweek 14
Feb 6, 2021 6.05am
5
2
HT : 4 2
FT
  • Dylan Wenzel-Halls 9' goal
  • Scott McDonald 14' goal
  • Riku Danzaki 17' goal
  • Scott McDonald 35' goal
  • Corey Brown 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Riku Danzaki 49' goal
  • Macaulay Gillesphey 83' yellowcard
  • goal Luis Lawrie-Lattanzio 19'
  • yellowcard Luis Lawrie-Lattanzio 33'
  • yellowcard Leigh Broxham 43'
  • goal Jake Brimmer 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Ryan Shotton 79'
  • yellowcard Birkan Kirdar 86'
Australian A-League Gameweek 3
Jan 2, 2021 8.10am
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT AAMI Park
  • Callum McManaman 24' goal
  • Callum McManaman 46' yellowcard
  • Adama Traore 54' yellowcard
  • Aaron Anderson 61' yellowcard
  • Storm Roux 81' yellowcard
  • goal Scott McDonald 16'
  • yellowcard Macaulay Gillesphey 45'+1'
  • goal Macaulay Gillesphey 60'
  • goal Dylan Wenzel-Halls 79'