MX23RW : Wednesday, May 1 11:40:45| >> :300:86500:86500:
Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Western United
Western United
Australian A-League | Gameweek 9
Dec 26, 2022 at 7am UK
Whitten Oval
Melbourne Victory

Western Utd
1 - 0
Victory

Risdon (45+1')
Doumbia (15'), Risdon (79')
Topor-Stanley (32')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Marchan (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Australian A-League clash between Western United and Melbourne Victory, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Western Utd 1-0 Western Sydney
Sunday, December 18 at 4am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Melbourne City 0-0 Victory
Saturday, December 17 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

We said: Western United 1-1 Melbourne Victory

After stumbling into the new campaign, Western United appear to have hit their stride in recent weeks and will head into Monday looking to make it three wins from four matches. However, Melbourne Victory have been defensively resolute this season and we predict that they will cancel out the efforts of the hosts to hold out for a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 46.44%. A win for Western United had a probability of 28.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.31%) and 0-2 (7.84%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-0 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
Western UnitedDrawMelbourne Victory
28.67% (-0.325 -0.33) 24.89% (0.317 0.32) 46.44% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Both teams to score 55.22% (-1.269 -1.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.32% (-1.566 -1.57)47.68% (1.568 1.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.12% (-1.463 -1.46)69.88% (1.466 1.47)
Western United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.53% (-1.036 -1.04)30.47% (1.038 1.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.32% (-1.249 -1.25)66.68% (1.251 1.25)
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.41% (-0.631 -0.63)20.58% (0.632 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.88% (-1.006 -1.01)53.12% (1.008 1.01)
Score Analysis
    Western United 28.67%
    Melbourne Victory 46.44%
    Draw 24.89%
Western UnitedDrawMelbourne Victory
1-0 @ 7.45% (0.271 0.27)
2-1 @ 7% (-0.079 -0.08)
2-0 @ 4.43% (0.037 0.04)
3-1 @ 2.77% (-0.113 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.19% (-0.134 -0.13)
3-0 @ 1.76% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 28.67%
1-1 @ 11.78% (0.21 0.21)
0-0 @ 6.27% (0.4 0.4)
2-2 @ 5.53% (-0.173 -0.17)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.095 -0.1)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.89%
0-1 @ 9.91% (0.448 0.45)
1-2 @ 9.31% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.84% (0.207 0.21)
1-3 @ 4.91% (-0.107 -0.11)
0-3 @ 4.13% (0.03 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.92% (-0.151 -0.15)
1-4 @ 1.94% (-0.081 -0.08)
0-4 @ 1.63% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.15% (-0.083 -0.08)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 46.44%

How you voted: Western Utd vs Victory

Western United
44.0%
Draw
28.0%
Melbourne Victory
28.0%
25
Head to Head
May 21, 2022 8.15am
Victory
1-4
Western Utd
Brimmer (37')
Prijovic (18', 49'), Wales (78'), Wenzel-Halls (90+9')
Risdon (66'), Kilkenny (81')
May 17, 2022 10.05am
Western Utd
0-1
Victory

Risdon (56'), Pain (69')
Brimmer (74')
Brimmer (50'), Ikonomidis (77'), Popovic (89')
Mar 23, 2022 8.05am
Victory
1-1
Western Utd
Hamill (85')
Marchan (78'), Miranda (90+2')
Topor-Stanley (47')
Risdon (13'), Imai (40'), Wales (90+4')
Dec 26, 2021 8.45am
Nov 20, 2021 8.45am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast27174649272255
2Wellington PhoenixWellington27158442261653
3Melbourne VictoryVictory271012543331042
4Sydney FCSydney FC271251052411141
5Macarthur2711884548-341
6Melbourne CityMelbourne City271161050381239
7Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney27114124448-437
8Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United2795135253-132
9Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar2786134255-1330
10Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets27610113947-828
11Western UnitedWestern Utd2775153655-1926
12Perth GloryPerth Glory2757154669-2322


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!