Australian A-League Gameweek 9
Western Utd
Dec 26, 2022 7.00am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Whitten Oval
Victory
  • Josh Risdon 45'+1' goal

Western United vs Melbourne Victory - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Western United

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Dec 18, 2022 4.00am
Western Utd 1 - 0 Western Sydney
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Noah Botic

Melbourne Victory

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Dec 11, 2022 6.00am
Macarthur 0 - 1 Victory
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Bruno Fornaroli

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 46.44%. A win for Western United had a probability of 28.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.31%) and 0-2 (7.84%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-0 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result

Western United 28.67% ▼ (-0.33)
Draw 24.89% ▲ (+0.32)
Melbourne Victory 46.44% ▲ (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.22% ▼ (-1.27)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.32% ▼ (-1.57)
Under 2.5 47.68% ▲ (+1.57)
Over 3.5 30.12% ▼ (-1.47)
Under 3.5 69.88% ▲ (+1.47)

Western United Goals

Over 0.5 69.53% ▼ (-1.04)
Under 0.5 30.47% ▲ (+1.04)
Over 1.5 33.32% ▼ (-1.25)
Under 1.5 66.68% ▲ (+1.26)

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5 79.41% ▼ (-0.64)
Under 0.5 20.58% ▲ (+0.64)
Over 1.5 46.88% ▼ (-1.01)
Under 1.5 53.12% ▲ (+1.01)

Score analysis

Western United 28.67%
Draw 24.89%
Melbourne Victory 46.44%
Western United
1-0 @ 7.45% ▲ (+0.28)
2-1 @ 7% ▼ (-0.08)
2-0 @ 4.43% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 2.77% ▼ (-0.12)
3-2 @ 2.19% ▼ (-0.14)
3-0 @ 1.76% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 28.67%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.78% ▲ (+0.21)
0-0 @ 6.27% ▲ (+0.41)
2-2 @ 5.53% ▼ (-0.18)
3-3 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.89%
Melbourne Victory
0-1 @ 9.91% ▲ (+0.45)
1-2 @ 9.31% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 7.84% ▲ (+0.21)
1-3 @ 4.91% ▼ (-0.11)
0-3 @ 4.13% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 2.92% ▼ (-0.16)
1-4 @ 1.94% ▼ (-0.09)
0-4 @ 1.63% ▼ (-0.03)
2-4 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 46.44%

Head to Head

Australian A-League
Victory
May 21, 2022 8.15am
1
4
HT : 1 1
FT AAMI Park
Western Utd
  • Jake Brimmer 37' goal
  • goal Aleksandar Prijovic 18'
  • goal Aleksandar Prijovic 49'
  • yellowcard Josh Risdon 66'
  • goal Lachlan Wales 78'
  • yellowcard Neil Kilkenny 81'
  • goal Dylan Wenzel-Halls 90'+9'
Australian A-League
Western Utd
May 17, 2022 10.05am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT AAMI Park
Victory
  • Josh Risdon 56' yellowcard
  • Connor Pain 69' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jake Brimmer 50'
  • goal Jake Brimmer 74'
  • yellowcard Chris Ikonomidis 77'
  • yellowcard Tony Popovic 89'
Australian A-League Gameweek 13
Victory
Mar 23, 2022 8.05am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Western Utd
  • Rai Marchan 78' yellowcard
  • Brendan Hamill 85' goal
  • Roderick Miranda 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Josh Risdon 13'
  • yellowcard Tomoki Imai 40'
  • goal Nikolai Topor-Stanley 47'
  • yellowcard Lachlan Wales 90'+4'
Australian A-League Gameweek 6
Victory
Dec 26, 2021 8.45am
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT
Western Utd
  • Jason Geria 18' goal
  • Joshua Brillante 19' goal
  • Jason Davidson 37' yellowcard
  • Nicholas D'Agostino 90'+4' goal
  • goal Aleksandar Prijovic 87'
Australian A-League Gameweek 1
Western Utd
Nov 20, 2021 8.45am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Victory
  • Steven Lustica 63' yellowcard
  • Alessandro Diamanti 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jason Geria 40'
  • goal Roderick Miranda 75'
Australian A-League Gameweek 20
Western Utd
May 28, 2021 10.05am
1
6
HT : 1 4
FT
Victory
  • Connor Pain 8' yellowcard
  • Alessandro Diamanti 45'+3' goal
  • Iker Guarrotxena 55' yellowcard
  • Tomislav Uskok 88' yellowcard
  • goal Jake Brimmer 12'
  • goal Rudy Gestede 22'
  • goal Elvis Kamsoba 33'
  • goal Ben Folami 36'
  • goal Elvis Kamsoba 50'
  • yellowcard Callum McManaman 55'
  • goal Jacob Butterfield 82'

Form Data

Western Utd 1 - 0 Western Sydney
Perth Glory 2 - 1 Western Utd
Wellington 2 - 3 Western Utd
Western Utd 2 - 4 Adelaide United
Central Coast 4 - 2 Western Utd
Western Utd 1 - 1 Macarthur
Macarthur 0 - 1 Victory
Adelaide United 3 - 0 Victory
Victory 4 - 0 Newcastle Jets
Brisbane Roar 0 - 0 Victory
Victory 0 - 2 Melbourne City
Victory 0 - 1 Western Sydney