Adelaide United
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Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Western United
Australian A-League | Gameweek 9
Dec 26, 2022 at 7am UK
Whitten Oval
Melbourne Victory

Western Utd
1 - 0
Victory

Risdon (45+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Australian A-League clash between Western United and Melbourne Victory, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Western United

All competitions
Last Game: Western Utd 1-0 Western Sydney
Sunday, December 18 at 4am in Australian A-League

Melbourne Victory

All competitions
Last Game: Melbourne City 0-0 Victory
Saturday, December 17 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 46.44%. A win for Western United had a probability of 28.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.31%) and 0-2 (7.84%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-0 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
Western UnitedDrawMelbourne Victory
28.67% (-0.325 -0.33)24.89% (0.317 0.32)46.44% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Both teams to score 55.22% (-1.269 -1.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.32% (-1.566 -1.57)47.68% (1.568 1.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.12% (-1.463 -1.46)69.88% (1.466 1.47)
Western United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.53% (-1.036 -1.04)30.47% (1.038 1.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.32% (-1.249 -1.25)66.68% (1.251 1.25)
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.41% (-0.631 -0.63)20.58% (0.632 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.88% (-1.006 -1.01)53.12% (1.008 1.01)
Score Analysis
    Western United 28.67%
    Melbourne Victory 46.44%
    Draw 24.89%
Western UnitedDrawMelbourne Victory
1-0 @ 7.45% (0.271 0.27)
2-1 @ 7% (-0.079 -0.08)
2-0 @ 4.43% (0.037 0.04)
3-1 @ 2.77% (-0.113 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.19% (-0.134 -0.13)
3-0 @ 1.76% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 28.67%
1-1 @ 11.78% (0.21 0.21)
0-0 @ 6.27% (0.4 0.4)
2-2 @ 5.53% (-0.173 -0.17)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.095 -0.1)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.89%
0-1 @ 9.91% (0.448 0.45)
1-2 @ 9.31% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.84% (0.207 0.21)
1-3 @ 4.91% (-0.107 -0.11)
0-3 @ 4.13% (0.03 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.92% (-0.151 -0.15)
1-4 @ 1.94% (-0.081 -0.08)
0-4 @ 1.63% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.15% (-0.083 -0.08)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 46.44%

How you voted: Western Utd vs Victory

Western United
44.0%
Draw
28.0%
Melbourne Victory
28.0%
25
Head to Head
May 21, 2022 8.15am
Victory
1-4
Western Utd
Brimmer (37')
Prijovic (18', 49'), Wales (78'), Wenzel-Halls (90+9')
Risdon (66'), Kilkenny (81')
May 17, 2022 10.05am
Western Utd
0-1
Victory

Risdon (56'), Pain (69')
Brimmer (74')
Brimmer (50'), Ikonomidis (77'), Popovic (89')
Mar 23, 2022 8.05am
Victory
1-1
Western Utd
Hamill (85')
Marchan (78'), Miranda (90+2')
Topor-Stanley (47')
Risdon (13'), Imai (40'), Wales (90+4')
Dec 26, 2021 8.45am
Victory
3-1
Western Utd
Geria (18'), Brillante (19'), D'Agostino (90+4')
Davidson (37')
Prijovic (87')
Nov 20, 2021 8.45am
Western Utd
0-1
Victory

Lustica (63'), Diamanti (90+1')
Miranda (75')
Geria (40')