Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 39.05%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 36.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.66%) and 2-0 (5.83%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western United would win this match.