Australian A-League | Gameweek 12

Jan 14, 2023 at 8.45am UK

Coopers Stadium

Adelaide United
1 - 1
Victory

Goodwin (7')

FT(HT: 1-0)

D'Agostino (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Adelaide United and Melbourne Victory, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Adelaide United

All competitions

Last Game: Central Coast 4-0 Adelaide United
Saturday, January 7 at 6am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Melbourne Victory

All competitions

Last Game: Victory 0-1 Brisbane Roar
Friday, January 6 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 40.74%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 33.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 0-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
Adelaide United	Draw	Melbourne Victory
40.74% ( -0.71)	25.51% ( -0.07)	33.74% ( 0.77)

Both teams to score 55.49% (

0.45)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.61% (

0.48)

48.39% (

-0.48)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.47% (

0.43)

70.53% (

-0.43)

Adelaide United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.46% (

-0.14)

23.54% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.41% (

-0.21)

57.59% (

0.21)

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.57% (

0.72)

27.43% (

-0.72)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.09% (

0.92)

62.91% (

-0.92)

Score Analysis

Adelaide United 40.74%

Melbourne Victory 33.74%

Draw 25.51%

Adelaide United	Draw	Melbourne Victory
1-0 @ 9.34% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 8.74% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 6.76% ( -0.19) 3-1 @ 4.21% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.26% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 2.03% Total : 40.74%	1-1 @ 12.08% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.46% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.51%	0-1 @ 8.35% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.81% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 5.4% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 3.37% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.09) 1-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.95% Total : 33.74%