Australian A-League Gameweek 11
Jan 7, 2023 6.00am
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT Central Coast Stadium
  • Alexandar Popovic 31' goal
  • Beni N'Kololo 48' goal
  • Panashe Madanha 55' goal
  • Jacob Farrell 58' goal

Central Coast Mariners vs Adelaide United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Central Coast Mariners

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Dec 31, 2022 8.00am
Central Coast 2 - 1 Victory
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Jason Cummings

Adelaide United

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Jan 2, 2023 8.45am
Adelaide United 2 - 0 Perth Glory
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Craig Goodwin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 46.02%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.47%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.

Result

Central Coast Mariners 46.02% (-0.08)
Draw 23.21% (+0.01)
Adelaide United 30.76% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.37% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 61.14% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 38.85% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 38.83% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 61.17% (-0.04)

Central Coast Mariners Goals

Over 0.5 82.75% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 17.24% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 52.45% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 47.55% (+0.03)

Adelaide United Goals

Over 0.5 75.36% (+0.06)
Under 0.5 24.63% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 40.85% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 59.15% (-0.09)

Score analysis

Central Coast Mariners 46.02%
Draw 23.21%
Adelaide United 30.76%
Central Coast Mariners
2-1 @ 9.19% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 7.47% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 6.56% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.39% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.85% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.77% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.37% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.69% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.66%
Other @ 4.08%
Total : 46.02%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.46%
2-2 @ 6.44% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.25% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.76% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.21%
Adelaide United
1-2 @ 7.33% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 5.95% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.17% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.42% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 3.01% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.95% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.2% (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.05% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 30.76%

Head to Head

Australian A-League
May 15, 2022 7.05am
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Coopers Stadium
  • Isaias Sanchez 19' yellowcard
  • Craig Goodwin 26' goal
  • Craig Goodwin 64' yellowcard
  • Kusini Yengi 67' goal
  • Bernardo Oliveira 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Jacob Farrell 34'
  • yellowcard Harrison Steele 44'
  • goal Storm Roux 71'
Australian A-League Gameweek 20
Mar 26, 2022 8.45am
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Marco Urena 77' goal
  • Moresche 85' yellowcard
  • Jason Cummings 90'+1' goal
  • Matthew Hatch 90'+3' goal
  • Moresche 90'+5' redcard
  • redcard Joe Gauci 27'
  • yellowcard Juande 73'
  • yellowcard Javi Lopez 89'
Australian A-League Gameweek 16
Feb 26, 2022 8.45am
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Hiroshi Ibusuki 52' goal
  • Jacob Tratt 67' yellowcard
  • Ryan Kitto 86' yellowcard
  • Nestory Irankunda 90'+2' goal
  • goal Beni N'Kololo 35'
  • yellowcard Kye Rowles 48'
  • yellowcard Jacob Farrell 65'
  • yellowcard Max Balard 89'
Australian A-League Gameweek 15
Apr 1, 2021 9.40am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Oliver Bozanic 72' goal
  • Alou Kuol 76' goal
  • goal Kusini Yengi 48'
  • yellowcard Joshua Cavallo 78'
Australian A-League Gameweek 24
Feb 19, 2021 8.05am
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Tomi Juric 34' goal
  • Tomi Juric 70' goal
  • Tomi Juric 83' goal
  • Kusini Yengi 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Daniel De Silva 15'
  • yellowcard Ruan Tongyik 16'
  • yellowcard Marco Urena 24'
  • yellowcard Stefan Nigro 62'
  • goal Alou Kuol 63'
  • yellowcard Kye Rowles 83'
  • yellowcard Alen Stajcic 90'+3'
Australian A-League Gameweek 19
Feb 14, 2020 8.30am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ben Halloran 55' yellowcard
  • Jordan Elsey 70' yellowcard
  • George Blackwood 83' goal
  • Mohamed Toure 84' goal
  • Mohamed Toure 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gianni Stensness 40'