Australian A-League | Gameweek 1

Dec 21, 2022 at 8am UK

Central Coast Stadium

Central Coast
3 - 0
Newcastle Jets

Tulio (22'), Cummings (63'), N'Kololo (87' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Australian A-League clash between Central Coast Mariners and Newcastle Jets, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Central Coast Mariners

All competitions

Last Game: Central Coast 2-1 Sydney FC
Saturday, December 17 at 6am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Newcastle Jets

All competitions

Last Game: Newcastle Jets 0-1 Brisbane Roar
Friday, December 16 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 55.7%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a Newcastle Jets win it was 1-2 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.

Result
Central Coast Mariners	Draw	Newcastle Jets
55.7% ( -0.04)	22.19% ( 0.01)	22.1% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 57.55% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.5% (

41.5% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.1% (

63.9% (

-0)

Central Coast Mariners Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.22% (

-0.01)

14.78% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.96% (

-0.02)

43.04% (

0.02)

Newcastle Jets Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.54% (

0.03)

32.46% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.01% (

0.04)

68.98% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Central Coast Mariners 55.7%

Newcastle Jets 22.1%

Draw 22.19%

Central Coast Mariners	Draw	Newcastle Jets
2-1 @ 9.87% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.17% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.77% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.29% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.59% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.54% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.01% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.67% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.69% 5-1 @ 1.15% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 2.95% Total : 55.7%	1-1 @ 10.32% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.55% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.8% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.19%	1-2 @ 5.81% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.4% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.04% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.18% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.08% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 2.46% Total : 22.1%